World: UEFA Champions League
Tue, 3rd Nov, 2026 · 21:00 · League Stage - 4
Villarreal
19th in the table
Paris Saint Germain
1st in the table
Combo Double chance : draw or Paris Saint Germain and +2.5 goals
Tue, 3rd Nov, 2026 · 21:00 · League Stage - 4
19th in the table
1st in the table
Combo Double chance : draw or Paris Saint Germain and +2.5 goals
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:5 | +9 | 9 | WWW | |
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | +9 | 9 | WWW | |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:7 | +5 | 9 | WWW | |
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:5 | +5 | 9 | WWW | |
| 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | +3 | 9 | WWW | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 7 | DWW | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 7 | DWW | |
| 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 6 | LWW | |
| 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | +5 | 6 | WLW | |
| 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 6 | WLW | |
| 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 6 | WWL | |
| 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | +3 | 6 | LWW | |
| 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 6 | WLW | |
| 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | +5 | 5 | DDW | |
| 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 4 | WLD | |
| 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 4 | DWL | |
| 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 4 | LWD | |
| 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 | WLD | |
| 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 3 | LWL | |
| 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 | WLL | |
| 21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 | LLW | |
| 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 | WLL | |
| 23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 | WLL | |
| 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 | WLLWL | |
| 25 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 | LWLWL | |
| 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 | LWL | |
| 27 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 | LLW | |
| 28 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 | LWLWW | |
| 29 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 | LLWWD | |
| 30 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 | LWL | |
| 31 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 | DLDWD | |
| 32 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 | DLL | |
| 33 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 | LDLWD | |
| 34 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LLL | |
| 35 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 0 | LLL | |
| 36 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:13 | -12 | 0 | LLLWD |
Villarreal · Draw · Paris Saint Germain
Value spotted: Villarreal win at 4.75 (model 40% vs market 20%)
Expected goals 2.5 Villarreal · 2.5 Paris Saint Germain
Green is a bottom-third opponent, grey is mid-table, red is a top-third opponent.
Odds can change. Implied probability is 100 divided by the odds and includes the bookmaker margin.
Villarreal host Paris Saint Germain in the World UEFA Champions League (League Stage - 4) on Tuesday, 3rd November 2026 at 21:00 at Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal. Villarreal sit 19th in the table and Paris Saint Germain 1st.
Villarreal have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-W-W-L). Paris Saint Germain are flying, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-W).
Our goal model expects about 2.5 goals for Villarreal and 2.5 for Paris Saint Germain. It gives Villarreal the edge (40% home win, 18% draw, 40% away win), 87% for over 2.5 goals and 83% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-2.
Verdict: our pick is Aweh at odds of 1.30. We also like Over 2.5 (+2.5) at odds of 1.34, Away (2) at odds of 1.64, BTTS (yes) at odds of 1.38.
Our top tip is Aweh at odds of 1.30.
It looks very close: our model gives Villarreal 40%, the draw 18% and Paris Saint Germain 40%.
Both teams scoring has a 83% chance in our model.
Our model expects 5 goals in total, with a 87% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Kick-off is on Tuesday, 3rd November 2026 at 21:00 at Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal.
Felix Zwayer is in charge of this game.