World: UEFA Champions League

Tue, 3rd Nov, 2026 · 21:00 · League Stage - 4

Villarreal

19th in the table

DLWWL
KICK OFF 21:00

Paris Saint Germain

1st in the table

WWWWW
Prediction: Aweh (1.30 odds)
77% confidence

Combo Double chance : draw or Paris Saint Germain and +2.5 goals

Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal Referee Felix Zwayer

Match odds

Bet365
Home 4.75 20% implied
Draw 4.50 21% implied
Away 1.60 59% implied

All our tips for this match

Aweh aweh @ 1.30
Over 2.5 +2.5 @ 1.34
Away 2 @ 1.64
BTTS yes @ 1.38
X2 x2 @ 1.21

UEFA Champions League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 3300 14:5 +9 9 WWW
2 Aston Villa 3300 12:3 +9 9 WWW
3 Liverpool 3300 12:7 +5 9 WWW
4 Real Madrid 3300 10:5 +5 9 WWW
5 Real Betis 3300 7:4 +3 9 WWW
6 VfB Stuttgart 3210 7:2 +5 7 DWW
7 Arsenal 3210 6:2 +4 7 DWW
8 Barcelona 3201 11:6 +5 6 LWW
9 Como 3201 10:5 +5 6 WLW
10 Manchester City 3201 9:5 +4 6 WLW
11 Club Brugge KV 3201 9:6 +3 6 WWL
12 Sporting CP 3201 7:4 +3 6 LWW
13 Borussia Dortmund 3201 5:4 +1 6 WLW
14 Bayern München 3120 10:5 +5 5 DDW
15 AS Roma 3111 8:5 +3 4 WLD
16 Atletico Madrid 3111 4:3 +1 4 DWL
17 Shakhtar Donetsk 3111 4:3 +1 4 LWD
18 PSV Eindhoven 3111 2:2 0 4 WLD
19 Villarreal 3102 8:8 0 3 LWL
20 Inter 3102 5:6 -1 3 WLL
21 Manchester United 3102 5:6 -1 3 LLW
22 Napoli 3102 5:7 -2 3 WLL
23 Galatasaray 3102 6:9 -3 3 WLL
24 Lask Linz 3102 6:9 -3 3 WLLWL
25 Sabah FA 3102 3:6 -3 3 LWLWL
26 Feyenoord 3102 4:8 -4 3 LWL
27 Lens 3102 3:7 -4 3 LLW
28 Bodo/Glimt 3102 4:9 -5 3 LWLWW
29 AEK Athens FC 3102 3:8 -5 3 LLWWD
30 RB Leipzig 3102 3:8 -5 3 LWL
31 Fenerbahçe 3021 3:9 -6 2 DLDWD
32 Slavia Praha 3012 4:7 -3 1 DLL
33 Viking 3012 5:9 -4 1 LDLWD
34 FC Porto 3003 2:6 -4 0 LLL
35 Lille 3003 4:10 -6 0 LLL
36 Slovan Bratislava 3003 1:13 -12 0 LLLWD

Top scorers

UEFA Champions League
1 J. Mickels
Sabah FA
4
goals
1
assists
11
apps
2 E. Demirović
VfB Stuttgart
4
goals
0
assists
3
apps
3 E. Haaland
Manchester City
4
goals
0
assists
2
apps
4 S. Guirassy
Borussia Dortmund
4
goals
0
assists
3
apps
5 H. Kane
Bayern München
4
goals
2
assists
3
apps
6 Talisca
Fenerbahçe
4
goals
0
assists
6
apps
7 L. Suárez
Sporting CP
4
goals
0
assists
3
apps
8 N. Tresoldi
Club Brugge KV
4
goals
0
assists
3
apps
9 O. Dembélé
Paris Saint Germain
3
goals
3
assists
3
apps
10 M. Greenwood
Fenerbahçe
3
goals
2
assists
9
apps

Recent form

5 W1 D4 Lin the last 10
30 Oct 2026
La Liga
Villarreal 0 - 1 Espanyol L
27 Oct 2026
Copa del Rey
Manacor 0 - 5 Villarreal W
24 Oct 2026
La Liga
Valencia 1 - 2 Villarreal W
20 Oct 2026
UEFA Champions League
Liverpool 4 - 3 Villarreal L
17 Oct 2026
La Liga
Villarreal 0 - 0 Elche D
13 Oct 2026
UEFA Champions League
Villarreal 3 - 1 Napoli W
10 Oct 2026
La Liga
Real Madrid 1 - 0 Villarreal L
20 Sep 2026
La Liga
Villarreal 3 - 1 Levante W
17 Sep 2026
La Liga
Malaga 1 - 3 Villarreal W
14 Sep 2026
La Liga
Villarreal 1 - 2 Real Betis L
9 W0 D1 Lin the last 10
30 Oct 2026
Ligue 1
Le Havre 1 - 5 Paris Saint Germain W
26 Oct 2026
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 2 - 0 Lyon W
20 Oct 2026
UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint Germain 4 - 2 Barcelona W
17 Oct 2026
Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1 - 3 Paris Saint Germain W
14 Oct 2026
UEFA Champions League
Manchester City 2 - 4 Paris Saint Germain W
10 Oct 2026
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3 - 1 Le Mans W
20 Sep 2026
Ligue 1
Marseille 1 - 2 Paris Saint Germain W
13 Sep 2026
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 0 - 1 Paris Saint Germain W
09 Sep 2026
UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint Germain 6 - 1 Slovan Bratislava W
04 Sep 2026
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1 - 2 Monaco L

Who wins?

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
40% 18% 40%
Book lines
10% 45% 45%
Bookmaker
20% 21% 59%

Villarreal · Draw · Paris Saint Germain

Value spotted: Villarreal win at 4.75 (model 40% vs market 20%)

Most likely scores

2-2
6.6%
2-3
5.5%
3-2
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-3
4.6%

Expected goals 2.5 Villarreal · 2.5 Paris Saint Germain

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals95%
Over 2.5 goals87%
Over 3.5 goals73%
Both teams score83%

Team comparison

25%
Form
75%
36%
Attack
64%
38%
Defence
62%
49%
Goal model
51%
0%
Head to head
0%
0%
Goals
0%
37%
Overall
63%

Season numbers

UEFA Champions League 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
2
3
16-30'
2
0
31-45'
3
1
46-60'
2
1
61-75'
2
2
76-90'
3
1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
3
2
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
1
VillarrealParis Saint Germain
3Played3
1Won3
0Drawn0
2Lost0
2.7Goals scored per game4.7
2.7Goals conceded per game1.7
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0
1Longest winning run3
3-1Biggest win6-1
0/0Penalties scored0/1

What comes next

Villarreal
Paris Saint Germain (H)03 Nov
Getafe (H)08 Nov
Barcelona (A)22 Nov
Slavia Praha (A)25 Nov
Celta Vigo (A)29 Nov
Paris Saint Germain
Villarreal (A)03 Nov
Estac Troyes (H)07 Nov
Nice (A)21 Nov
AS Roma (H)25 Nov
Lorient (H)28 Nov

Green is a bottom-third opponent, grey is mid-table, red is a top-third opponent.

Missing players

Villarreal
I. Akhomach Muscle Injury
J. Foyth Muscle Injury
G. Moreno Muscle Injury
Paris Saint Germain
O. Dembele Thigh Injury
K. Kvaratskhelia Knee Injury
Marquinhos Thigh Injury
N. Mendes Muscle Injury
A. Longoni Injury

Betting markets

Bet365
Villarreal 4.75
21% implied
Draw 4.50
22% implied
Paris Saint Germain 1.60
63% implied · Our tip
Villarreal 3.75
27% implied
Paris Saint Germain 1.25
80% implied · Our tip
Over 0.5 1.01
99% implied
Under 0.5 26.00
4% implied
Over 1.5 1.10
91% implied
Under 1.5 7.00
14% implied
Over 2.5 1.36
74% implied
Under 2.5 3.20
31% implied
Over 3.5 1.91
52% implied
Under 3.5 1.91
52% implied
Over 4.5 3.00
33% implied
Under 4.5 1.40
71% implied
Villarreal/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Villarreal/Paris Saint Germain 17.00
6% implied
Draw/Paris Saint Germain 5.00
20% implied · Our tip
Draw/Draw 8.00
13% implied
Villarreal/Villarreal 8.00
13% implied
Draw/Villarreal 12.00
8% implied
Paris Saint Germain/Villarreal 29.00
3% implied
Paris Saint Germain/Draw 13.00
8% implied
Paris Saint Germain/Paris Saint Germain 2.30
43% implied
Yes 1.40
71% implied · Our tip
No 2.75
36% implied
1:2 9.00
11% implied
1:1 9.50
11% implied
1:3 11.00
9% implied
2:2 12.00
8% implied
0:2 12.00
8% implied
0:1 15.00
7% implied
0:3 15.00
7% implied
2:1 17.00
6% implied
Villarreal/Draw 2.30
43% implied
Villarreal/Paris Saint Germain 1.18
85% implied
Draw/Paris Saint Germain 1.18
85% implied · Our tip
Villarreal 4.50
22% implied
Draw 2.75
36% implied
Paris Saint Germain 2.05
49% implied · Our tip

Odds can change. Implied probability is 100 divided by the odds and includes the bookmaker margin.

Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain: preview and prediction

Villarreal host Paris Saint Germain in the World UEFA Champions League (League Stage - 4) on Tuesday, 3rd November 2026 at 21:00 at Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal. Villarreal sit 19th in the table and Paris Saint Germain 1st.

Villarreal have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-W-W-L). Paris Saint Germain are flying, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-W).

Our goal model expects about 2.5 goals for Villarreal and 2.5 for Paris Saint Germain. It gives Villarreal the edge (40% home win, 18% draw, 40% away win), 87% for over 2.5 goals and 83% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-2.

Verdict: our pick is Aweh at odds of 1.30. We also like Over 2.5 (+2.5) at odds of 1.34, Away (2) at odds of 1.64, BTTS (yes) at odds of 1.38.

FAQs

What is the best prediction for Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain?

Our top tip is Aweh at odds of 1.30.

Who will win Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain?

It looks very close: our model gives Villarreal 40%, the draw 18% and Paris Saint Germain 40%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 83% chance in our model.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 5 goals in total, with a 87% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain?

Kick-off is on Tuesday, 3rd November 2026 at 21:00 at Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal.

Who is the referee?

Felix Zwayer is in charge of this game.

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