World: UEFA Champions League

Wed, 4th Nov, 2026 · 21:00 · League Stage - 4

FC Porto

34th in the table

LLWWW
KICK OFF 21:00

Napoli

23rd in the table

LWDWL
Prediction: Under 3.5 (1.43 odds)
70% confidence

Double chance : draw or Napoli

Estádio do Dragão, Porto Referee Michael Oliver

Match odds

Bet365
Home 1.91 50% implied
Draw 3.70 26% implied
Away 3.90 24% implied

All our tips for this match

Under 3.5 -3.5 @ 1.43
Draw x @ 3.90
Over 1.5 +1.5 @ 1.21
1X 1x @ 1.30

UEFA Champions League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 3300 14:5 +9 9 WWW
2 Aston Villa 3300 12:3 +9 9 WWW
3 Liverpool 3300 12:7 +5 9 WWW
4 Real Madrid 3300 10:5 +5 9 WWW
5 Sporting CP 4301 8:4 +4 9 WLWW
6 Real Betis 3300 7:4 +3 9 WWW
7 Arsenal 3210 6:2 +4 7 DWW
8 VfB Stuttgart 4211 7:4 +3 7 LDWW
9 Barcelona 3201 11:6 +5 6 LWW
10 Como 3201 10:5 +5 6 WLW
11 Manchester City 3201 9:5 +4 6 WLW
12 Club Brugge KV 3201 9:6 +3 6 WWL
13 Borussia Dortmund 3201 5:4 +1 6 WLW
14 Galatasaray 4202 8:9 -1 6 WWLL
15 Bayern München 3120 10:5 +5 5 DDW
16 AS Roma 3111 8:5 +3 4 WLD
17 Atletico Madrid 3111 4:3 +1 4 DWL
18 Shakhtar Donetsk 4112 4:4 0 4 LLWD
19 PSV Eindhoven 3111 2:2 0 4 WLD
20 Villarreal 3102 8:8 0 3 LWL
21 Inter 3102 5:6 -1 3 WLL
22 Manchester United 3102 5:6 -1 3 LLW
23 Napoli 3102 5:7 -2 3 WLL
24 Lask Linz 3102 6:9 -3 3 WLLWL
25 Sabah FA 3102 3:6 -3 3 LWLWL
26 Feyenoord 3102 4:8 -4 3 LWL
27 Lens 3102 3:7 -4 3 LLW
28 Bodo/Glimt 3102 4:9 -5 3 LWLWW
29 AEK Athens FC 3102 3:8 -5 3 LLWWD
30 RB Leipzig 3102 3:8 -5 3 LWL
31 Fenerbahçe 3021 3:9 -6 2 DLDWD
32 Slavia Praha 3012 4:7 -3 1 DLL
33 Viking 3012 5:9 -4 1 LDLWD
34 FC Porto 3003 2:6 -4 0 LLL
35 Lille 3003 4:10 -6 0 LLL
36 Slovan Bratislava 3003 1:13 -12 0 LLLWD

Top scorers

UEFA Champions League
1 J. Mickels
Sabah FA 4
goals 1
assists 11
apps
2 E. Demirović
VfB Stuttgart 4
goals 0
assists 3
apps
3 E. Haaland
Manchester City 4
goals 0
assists 2
apps
4 S. Guirassy
Borussia Dortmund 4
goals 0
assists 3
apps
5 H. Kane
Bayern München 4
goals 2
assists 3
apps
6 Talisca
Fenerbahçe 4
goals 0
assists 6
apps
7 L. Suárez
Sporting CP 4
goals 0
assists 3
apps
8 N. Tresoldi
Club Brugge KV 4
goals 0
assists 3
apps
9 O. Dembélé
Paris Saint Germain 3
goals 3
assists 3
apps
10 M. Greenwood
Fenerbahçe 3
goals 2
assists 9
apps

Recent form

7 W0 D3 Lin the last 10
31 Oct 2026
Primeira Liga FC Porto 4 - 0 Estoril W
28 Oct 2026
Taça da Liga FC Porto 1 - 0 Academico Viseu W
24 Oct 2026
Primeira Liga GIL Vicente 0 - 1 FC Porto W
20 Oct 2026
UEFA Champions League FC Porto 0 - 1 PSV Eindhoven L
14 Oct 2026
UEFA Champions League Real Betis 3 - 2 FC Porto L
10 Oct 2026
Primeira Liga Maritimo 1 - 2 FC Porto W
02 Oct 2026
Friendlies Clubs Deportivo La Coruna 1 - 3 FC Porto W
20 Sep 2026
Primeira Liga FC Porto 3 - 1 Benfica W
12 Sep 2026
Primeira Liga Casa Pia 1 - 4 FC Porto W
08 Sep 2026
UEFA Champions League FC Porto 0 - 2 Manchester City L
4 W2 D4 Lin the last 10
01 Nov 2026
Serie A Juventus 2 - 0 Napoli L
28 Oct 2026
Serie A Monza 1 - 4 Napoli W
24 Oct 2026
Serie A Napoli 3 - 3 AS Roma D
20 Oct 2026
UEFA Champions League Napoli 4 - 3 Bodo/Glimt W
17 Oct 2026
Serie A Venezia 1 - 0 Napoli L
13 Oct 2026
UEFA Champions League Villarreal 3 - 1 Napoli L
10 Oct 2026
Serie A Napoli 3 - 0 Frosinone W
20 Sep 2026
Serie A Fiorentina 1 - 1 Napoli D
13 Sep 2026
Serie A Napoli 1 - 0 Bologna W
09 Sep 2026
UEFA Champions League Napoli 0 - 1 Arsenal L

Who wins?

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
51% 23% 26%
Book lines
10% 45% 45%
Bookmaker
50% 26% 24%

FC Porto · Draw · Napoli

Most likely scores

1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
6%

Expected goals 1.85 FC Porto · 1.25 Napoli

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals37%
Both teams score60%

Team comparison

0%
Form
100%
29%
Attack
71%
54%
Defence
46%
0%
Goal model
100%
0%
Head to head
0%
0%
Goals
0%
41%
Overall
58%

Season numbers

UEFA Champions League 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
2
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
3
0
31-45'
0
3
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
2
2
76-90'
2
FC PortoNapoli
3Played3
0Won1
0Drawn0
3Lost2
0.7Goals scored per game1.7
2Goals conceded per game2.3
0Clean sheets0
2Failed to score1
0Longest winning run0
-Biggest win4-3
0/0Penalties scored0/0

What comes next

FC Porto
Napoli (H)04 Nov
Vitória SC (A)08 Nov
Paredes (H)21 Nov
Feyenoord (A)24 Nov
Sporting CP (H)29 Nov
Napoli
FC Porto (A)04 Nov
Lazio (H)08 Nov
Torino (H)21 Nov
Manchester City (A)24 Nov
Sassuolo (A)29 Nov

Green is a bottom-third opponent, grey is mid-table, red is a top-third opponent.

Missing players

FC Porto
Gabriel Mec Off the roster
D. Prpic Off the roster
C. Smalling Knee Injury
V. Sousa Leg Injury
William Gomes Ankle Injury
O. Pietuszewski Muscle Injury
Napoli
Alisson Santos Muscle Injury
B. Badiashile Injury
A. Buongiorno Knee Injury
David Neres Thigh Injury
C. Favasuli Thigh Injury
S. Lobotka Ankle Injury
L. Marianucci Off the roster
L. Spinazzola Thigh Injury
K. De Bruyne Ankle Injury
G. Di Lorenzo Muscle Injury
R. Hojlund Illness
V. Milinkovic-Savic Muscle Injury
M. Olivera Muscle Injury

Betting markets

Bet365
FC Porto 1.91
52% implied
Draw 3.70
27% implied · Our tip
Napoli 3.90
26% implied
FC Porto 1.40
71% implied
Napoli 2.75
36% implied
Over 0.5 1.04
96% implied
Under 0.5 13.00
8% implied
Over 1.5 1.22
82% implied
Under 1.5 4.33
23% implied
Over 2.5 1.73
58% implied
Under 2.5 2.10
48% implied
Over 3.5 2.75
36% implied
Under 3.5 1.44
69% implied
Over 4.5 5.00
20% implied
Under 4.5 1.17
85% implied
FC Porto/Draw 13.00
8% implied · Our tip
FC Porto/Napoli 29.00
3% implied
Draw/Napoli 8.50
12% implied
Draw/Draw 6.00
17% implied
FC Porto/FC Porto 3.00
33% implied
Draw/FC Porto 5.00
20% implied
Napoli/FC Porto 21.00
5% implied
Napoli/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Napoli/Napoli 6.00
17% implied
Yes 1.62
62% implied
No 2.20
45% implied
1:1 7.00
14% implied
2:1 8.50
12% implied
1:0 9.00
11% implied
2:0 10.00
10% implied
0:0 13.00
8% implied
2:2 13.00
8% implied
0:1 13.00
8% implied
1:2 13.00
8% implied
FC Porto/Draw 1.25
80% implied · Our tip
FC Porto/Napoli 1.28
78% implied
Draw/Napoli 1.83
55% implied
FC Porto 2.50
40% implied
Draw 2.30
43% implied · Our tip
Napoli 4.00
25% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability is 100 divided by the odds and includes the bookmaker margin.

FC Porto vs Napoli: preview and prediction

FC Porto host Napoli in the World UEFA Champions League (League Stage - 4) on Wednesday, 4th November 2026 at 21:00 at Estádio do Dragão, Porto. FC Porto sit 34th in the table and Napoli 23rd.

FC Porto are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-W-W). Napoli have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-D-W-L).

Our goal model expects about 1.85 goals for FC Porto and 1.25 for Napoli. It gives FC Porto the edge (51% home win, 23% draw, 26% away win), 60% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Verdict: our pick is Under 3.5 (-3.5) at odds of 1.43. We also like Draw (x) at odds of 3.90, Over 1.5 (+1.5) at odds of 1.21, 1X at odds of 1.30.

FAQs

What is the best prediction for FC Porto vs Napoli?

Our top tip is Under 3.5 (-3.5) at odds of 1.43.

Who will win FC Porto vs Napoli?

FC Porto are favourites: our model gives FC Porto 51%, the draw 23% and Napoli 26%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 60% chance in our model.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.1 goals in total, with a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is FC Porto vs Napoli?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 4th November 2026 at 21:00 at Estádio do Dragão, Porto.

Who is the referee?

Michael Oliver is in charge of this game.

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Lens
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