World: UEFA Champions League

Wed, 4th Nov, 2026 · 18:45 · League Stage - 4

AEK Athens FC

29th in the table

LLWLL
KICK OFF 18:45

Real Madrid

4th in the table

WWWWW
Prediction: Away (1.28 odds)
78% confidence

Combo Double chance : draw or Real Madrid and +1.5 goals

Allwyn Arena, Nea Filadelfeia Referee Maurizio Mariani

Match odds

Bet365
Home 11.00 9% implied
Draw 7.00 14% implied
Away 1.22 78% implied

All our tips for this match

Away 2 @ 1.28
Over 2.5 +2.5 @ 1.31

UEFA Champions League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 3300 14:5 +9 9 WWW
2 Aston Villa 3300 12:3 +9 9 WWW
3 Liverpool 3300 12:7 +5 9 WWW
4 Real Madrid 3300 10:5 +5 9 WWW
5 Sporting CP 4301 8:4 +4 9 WLWW
6 Real Betis 3300 7:4 +3 9 WWW
7 Arsenal 3210 6:2 +4 7 DWW
8 VfB Stuttgart 4211 7:4 +3 7 LDWW
9 Barcelona 3201 11:6 +5 6 LWW
10 Como 3201 10:5 +5 6 WLW
11 Manchester City 3201 9:5 +4 6 WLW
12 Club Brugge KV 3201 9:6 +3 6 WWL
13 Borussia Dortmund 3201 5:4 +1 6 WLW
14 Galatasaray 4202 8:9 -1 6 WWLL
15 Bayern München 3120 10:5 +5 5 DDW
16 AS Roma 3111 8:5 +3 4 WLD
17 Atletico Madrid 3111 4:3 +1 4 DWL
18 Shakhtar Donetsk 4112 4:4 0 4 LLWD
19 PSV Eindhoven 3111 2:2 0 4 WLD
20 Villarreal 3102 8:8 0 3 LWL
21 Inter 3102 5:6 -1 3 WLL
22 Manchester United 3102 5:6 -1 3 LLW
23 Napoli 3102 5:7 -2 3 WLL
24 Lask Linz 3102 6:9 -3 3 WLLWL
25 Sabah FA 3102 3:6 -3 3 LWLWL
26 Feyenoord 3102 4:8 -4 3 LWL
27 Lens 3102 3:7 -4 3 LLW
28 Bodo/Glimt 3102 4:9 -5 3 LWLWW
29 AEK Athens FC 3102 3:8 -5 3 LLWWD
30 RB Leipzig 3102 3:8 -5 3 LWL
31 Fenerbahçe 3021 3:9 -6 2 DLDWD
32 Slavia Praha 3012 4:7 -3 1 DLL
33 Viking 3012 5:9 -4 1 LDLWD
34 FC Porto 3003 2:6 -4 0 LLL
35 Lille 3003 4:10 -6 0 LLL
36 Slovan Bratislava 3003 1:13 -12 0 LLLWD

Top scorers

UEFA Champions League
1 J. Mickels
Sabah FA 4
goals 1
assists 11
apps
2 E. Demirović
VfB Stuttgart 4
goals 0
assists 3
apps
3 E. Haaland
Manchester City 4
goals 0
assists 2
apps
4 S. Guirassy
Borussia Dortmund 4
goals 0
assists 3
apps
5 H. Kane
Bayern München 4
goals 2
assists 3
apps
6 Talisca
Fenerbahçe 4
goals 0
assists 6
apps
7 L. Suárez
Sporting CP 4
goals 0
assists 3
apps
8 N. Tresoldi
Club Brugge KV 4
goals 0
assists 3
apps
9 O. Dembélé
Paris Saint Germain 3
goals 3
assists 3
apps
10 M. Greenwood
Fenerbahçe 3
goals 2
assists 9
apps

Recent form

4 W1 D4 Lin the last 9
01 Nov 2026
Super League 1 Panathinaikos 2 - 0 AEK Athens FC L
28 Oct 2026
Cup PAOK 3 - 1 AEK Athens FC L
24 Oct 2026
Super League 1 AEK Athens FC 5 - 0 Panetolikos W
20 Oct 2026
UEFA Champions League Manchester City 5 - 1 AEK Athens FC L
14 Oct 2026
UEFA Champions League Shakhtar Donetsk 3 - 1 AEK Athens FC L
10 Oct 2026
Super League 1 AEK Athens FC 3 - 0 OFI W
20 Sep 2026
Super League 1 Volos NFC 1 - 2 AEK Athens FC W
17 Sep 2026
Cup AEK Athens FC 8 - 1 Panserraikos W
13 Sep 2026
Super League 1 Asteras Tripolis 1 - 1 AEK Athens FC D
9 W0 D1 Lin the last 10
01 Nov 2026
La Liga Racing Santander 0 - 3 Real Madrid W
25 Oct 2026
La Liga Barcelona 1 - 2 Real Madrid W
21 Oct 2026
UEFA Champions League Real Madrid 4 - 1 RB Leipzig W
18 Oct 2026
La Liga Real Madrid 4 - 1 Sevilla W
14 Oct 2026
UEFA Champions League AS Roma 3 - 4 Real Madrid W
10 Oct 2026
La Liga Real Madrid 1 - 0 Villarreal W
20 Sep 2026
La Liga Atletico Madrid 2 - 1 Real Madrid L
15 Sep 2026
La Liga Elche 2 - 3 Real Madrid W
12 Sep 2026
La Liga Real Madrid 4 - 1 Rayo Vallecano W
08 Sep 2026
UEFA Champions League Real Madrid 2 - 1 Inter W

Who wins?

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
40% 17% 41%
Book lines
10% 45% 45%
Bookmaker
9% 14% 78%

AEK Athens FC · Draw · Real Madrid

Value spotted: AEK Athens FC win at 11.00 (model 40% vs market 9%)

Most likely scores

2-2
5.8%
2-3
5.4%
3-2
5.3%
3-3
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-1
4.1%

Expected goals 2.75 AEK Athens FC · 2.8 Real Madrid

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals96%
Over 2.5 goals90%
Over 3.5 goals79%
Both teams score86%

Team comparison

44%
Form
56%
41%
Attack
59%
38%
Defence
62%
100%
Goal model
0%
0%
Head to head
0%
0%
Goals
0%
41%
Overall
59%

Season numbers

UEFA Champions League 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
1
3
16-30'
2
0
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
5
1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
2
1
61-75'
0
3
76-90'
2
AEK Athens FCReal Madrid
5Played3
2Won3
1Drawn0
2Lost0
1.4Goals scored per game3.3
1.6Goals conceded per game1.7
3Clean sheets0
1Failed to score0
2Longest winning run3
4-0Biggest win4-1
1/1Penalties scored0/0

What comes next

AEK Athens FC
Real Madrid (H)04 Nov
Levadiakos (H)08 Nov
Kalamata (A)21 Nov
Como (A)24 Nov
PAOK (H)29 Nov
Real Madrid
AEK Athens FC (A)04 Nov
Valencia (A)07 Nov
Celta Vigo (H)22 Nov
PSV Eindhoven (H)24 Nov
Alaves (H)29 Nov

Green is a bottom-third opponent, grey is mid-table, red is a top-third opponent.

Betting markets

Bet365
AEK Athens FC 11.00
9% implied
Draw 7.00
14% implied
Real Madrid 1.22
82% implied · Our tip
AEK Athens FC 10.00
10% implied
Real Madrid 1.06
94% implied · Our tip
Over 0.5 1.01
99% implied
Under 0.5 26.00
4% implied
Over 1.5 1.08
93% implied
Under 1.5 8.00
13% implied
Over 2.5 1.33
75% implied
Under 2.5 3.40
29% implied
Over 3.5 1.80
56% implied
Under 3.5 2.00
50% implied
Over 4.5 2.75
36% implied
Under 4.5 1.44
69% implied
AEK Athens FC/Draw 23.00
4% implied
AEK Athens FC/Real Madrid 15.00
7% implied
Draw/Real Madrid 4.33
23% implied
Draw/Draw 12.00
8% implied
AEK Athens FC/AEK Athens FC 21.00
5% implied
Draw/AEK Athens FC 23.00
4% implied
Real Madrid/AEK Athens FC 41.00
2% implied
Real Madrid/Draw 21.00
5% implied
Real Madrid/Real Madrid 1.62
62% implied
Yes 1.75
57% implied
No 2.00
50% implied
0:2 8.50
12% implied
0:3 8.50
12% implied
1:2 10.00
10% implied
1:3 10.00
10% implied
0:4 11.00
9% implied
1:1 13.00
8% implied
0:1 13.00
8% implied
1:4 13.00
8% implied
AEK Athens FC/Draw 4.00
25% implied
AEK Athens FC/Real Madrid 1.10
91% implied
Draw/Real Madrid 1.05
95% implied
AEK Athens FC 8.00
13% implied
Draw 3.10
32% implied
Real Madrid 1.57
64% implied · Our tip

Odds can change. Implied probability is 100 divided by the odds and includes the bookmaker margin.

AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid: preview and prediction

AEK Athens FC host Real Madrid in the World UEFA Champions League (League Stage - 4) on Wednesday, 4th November 2026 at 18:45 at Allwyn Arena, Nea Filadelfeia. AEK Athens FC sit 29th in the table and Real Madrid 4th.

AEK Athens FC are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-L-L). Real Madrid are flying, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-W).

Our goal model expects about 2.75 goals for AEK Athens FC and 2.8 for Real Madrid. It gives Real Madrid the edge (40% home win, 17% draw, 41% away win), 90% for over 2.5 goals and 86% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-2.

Verdict: our pick is Away (2) at odds of 1.28. We also like Over 2.5 (+2.5) at odds of 1.31.

FAQs

What is the best prediction for AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid?

Our top tip is Away (2) at odds of 1.28.

Who will win AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid?

Real Madrid are favourites: our model gives AEK Athens FC 40%, the draw 17% and Real Madrid 41%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 86% chance in our model.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 5.6 goals in total, with a 90% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 4th November 2026 at 18:45 at Allwyn Arena, Nea Filadelfeia.

Who is the referee?

Maurizio Mariani is in charge of this game.

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