World: UEFA Europa Conference League

Thu, 5th Nov, 2026 · 18:45 · League Stage - 3

FC Midtjylland

25th in the table

WLWWW
KICK OFF 18:45

Ajax

13th in the table

LWWWW
Prediction: B T T S (1.40 odds)
71% confidence

Combo Double chance : draw or Ajax and +1.5 goals

MCH Arena, Herning Referee P. Raczkowski

Match odds

Bet365
Home 2.62 36% implied
Draw 3.70 25% implied
Away 2.45 39% implied

All our tips for this match

B T T S BTTS @ 1.40
BTTS yes @ 1.40
Over 2.5 +2.5 @ 1.49
Over 0.5 +0.5 @ 1.21

Head to head

Last 2 meetings

2games

0FC Midtjylland wins
0Draws
2Ajax wins
3.5Goals per game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
25 Nov 2020
UEFA Champions League Ajax 3 - 1 FC Midtjylland
03 Nov 2020
UEFA Champions League FC Midtjylland 1 - 2 Ajax

UEFA Europa Conference League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Panathinaikos 2200 7:2 +5 6 WW
2 FC Lugano 2200 8:4 +4 6 WW
3 Brann 2200 6:2 +4 6 WW
4 Trabzonspor 2200 6:2 +4 6 WW
5 Twente 2200 5:1 +4 6 WW
6 Monaco 2200 5:1 +4 6 WW
7 St. Truiden 2200 3:0 +3 6 WW
8 HNK Hajduk Split 2200 3:1 +2 6 WW
9 Brighton 2110 4:0 +4 4 DW
10 FC Copenhagen 2110 5:2 +3 4 DW
11 Universitatea Craiova 2110 4:2 +2 4 WD
12 Mjallby AIF 2110 3:1 +2 4 DW
13 Ajax 2101 3:2 +1 3 WL
14 Borac Banja Luka 2101 3:2 +1 3 WL
15 Atalanta 2101 3:3 0 3 LW
16 SC Braga 2101 2:3 -1 3 WL
17 Gent 2101 1:2 -1 3 LW
18 SC Freiburg 2101 3:5 -2 3 LW
19 FC Nordsjaelland 2020 3:3 0 2 DD
20 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2020 2:2 0 2 DD
21 Riga 2020 2:2 0 2 DD
22 FK Crvena Zvezda 2011 4:5 -1 1 DL
23 CSKA Sofia 2011 3:4 -1 1 DL
24 FK Jablonec 2011 2:3 -1 1 DL
25 FC Midtjylland 2011 1:2 -1 1 LD
26 Aarhus 2011 1:2 -1 1 DL
27 Pafos 2011 2:4 -2 1 DL
28 Heart Of Midlothian 2011 1:3 -2 1 LD
29 FC Iberia 1999 2011 1:3 -2 1 DL
30 Getafe 2011 3:6 -3 1 LD
31 Kairat Almaty 2011 2:6 -4 1 LD
32 FC Thun 2002 0:2 -2 0 LL
33 Lincoln Red Imps FC 2002 2:6 -4 0 LL
34 KuPS 2002 2:6 -4 0 LL
35 Inter Club d'Escaldes 2002 1:5 -4 0 LL
36 Kauno Žalgiris 2002 1:8 -7 0 LL

Top scorers

UEFA Europa Conference League
1 K. Behrens
FC Lugano 7
goals 1
assists 8
apps
2 Winsley Boteli Mokango
FC Sion 7
goals 1
assists 6
apps
3 C. Dessers
Panathinaikos 6
goals 0
assists 5
apps
4 A. Cornelius
FC Copenhagen 5
goals 2
assists 7
apps
5 D. Klaassen
Ajax 5
goals 0
assists 7
apps
6 Franculino Djú
Trabzonspor 5
goals 2
assists 6
apps
7 T. Arokodare
Ajax 4
goals 2
assists 5
apps
8 Robert
FC Copenhagen 4
goals 1
assists 8
apps
9 M. Pjaca
Twente 4
goals 1
assists 6
apps
10 Paris Josua Brunner
Monaco 4
goals 1
assists 4
apps

Recent form

7 W2 D1 Lin the last 10
01 Nov 2026
Superliga FC Nordsjaelland 2 - 3 FC Midtjylland W
29 Oct 2026
DBU Pokalen FC Midtjylland 2 - 1 Odense W
25 Oct 2026
Superliga FC Midtjylland 3 - 2 Lyngby W
22 Oct 2026
UEFA Europa Conference League FC Midtjylland 0 - 1 St. Truiden L
19 Oct 2026
Superliga Viborg 1 - 2 FC Midtjylland W
15 Oct 2026
UEFA Europa Conference League Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1 - 1 FC Midtjylland D
11 Oct 2026
Superliga FC Midtjylland 2 - 1 FC Copenhagen W
19 Sep 2026
Superliga Odense 1 - 1 FC Midtjylland D
14 Sep 2026
Superliga FC Midtjylland 4 - 1 Brondby W
10 Sep 2026
DBU Pokalen Sundby 0 - 7 FC Midtjylland W
6 W2 D2 Lin the last 10
31 Oct 2026
Eredivisie Ajax 1 - 0 AZ Alkmaar W
25 Oct 2026
Eredivisie Sparta Rotterdam 1 - 2 Ajax W
22 Oct 2026
UEFA Europa Conference League Ajax 2 - 0 Atalanta W
18 Oct 2026
Eredivisie Groningen 2 - 5 Ajax W
15 Oct 2026
UEFA Europa Conference League HNK Hajduk Split 2 - 1 Ajax L
10 Oct 2026
Eredivisie Ajax 1 - 1 NEC Nijmegen D
19 Sep 2026
Eredivisie Ajax 2 - 2 Excelsior D
15 Sep 2026
Eredivisie Ajax 5 - 1 Willem II W
12 Sep 2026
Eredivisie Fortuna Sittard 1 - 5 Ajax W
05 Sep 2026
Eredivisie Ajax 1 - 3 PSV Eindhoven L

Who wins?

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
36% 22% 42%
Book lines
10% 45% 45%
Bookmaker
36% 25% 39%

FC Midtjylland · Draw · Ajax

Most likely scores

1-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
2-2
7.2%
1-3
5.2%
0-1
4.9%

Expected goals 1.75 FC Midtjylland · 1.9 Ajax

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Over 3.5 goals49%
Both teams score70%

Team comparison

50%
Form
50%
42%
Attack
58%
64%
Defence
36%
45%
Goal model
55%
0%
Head to head
100%
29%
Goals
71%
46%
Overall
54%

Season numbers

UEFA Europa Conference League 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
3
4
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
5
4
46-60'
9
0
61-75'
2
3
76-90'
4
1
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
3
1
31-45'
4
1
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
4
FC MidtjyllandAjax
6Played8
4Won6
1Drawn1
1Lost1
2Goals scored per game3.1
0.8Goals conceded per game1.5
2Clean sheets1
1Failed to score0
4Longest winning run3
2-0Biggest win4-1
1/1Penalties scored1/2

What comes next

FC Midtjylland
Ajax (H)05 Nov
Sonderjyske (H)08 Nov
Brondby (A)23 Nov
Pafos (A)26 Nov
FC Copenhagen (A)29 Nov
Ajax
FC Midtjylland (A)05 Nov
Twente (A)08 Nov
ADO Den Haag (H)22 Nov
FC Thun (H)26 Nov
Feyenoord (A)29 Nov

Green is a bottom-third opponent, grey is mid-table, red is a top-third opponent.

Betting markets

Bet365
FC Midtjylland 2.62
38% implied
Draw 3.70
27% implied
Ajax 2.45
41% implied
FC Midtjylland 1.91
52% implied
Ajax 1.80
56% implied
Over 0.5 1.02
98% implied
Under 0.5 19.00
5% implied
Over 1.5 1.14
88% implied
Under 1.5 5.50
18% implied
Over 2.5 1.48
68% implied
Under 2.5 2.60
38% implied
Over 3.5 2.10
48% implied
Under 3.5 1.67
60% implied
Over 4.5 3.75
27% implied
Under 4.5 1.25
80% implied
FC Midtjylland/Draw 13.00
8% implied
FC Midtjylland/Ajax 21.00
5% implied
Draw/Ajax 6.50
15% implied
Draw/Draw 6.50
15% implied
FC Midtjylland/FC Midtjylland 4.00
25% implied
Draw/FC Midtjylland 7.00
14% implied
Ajax/FC Midtjylland 21.00
5% implied
Ajax/Draw 13.00
8% implied
Ajax/Ajax 3.75
27% implied
Yes 1.40
71% implied · Our tip
No 2.75
36% implied
1:1 7.50
13% implied
2:2 10.00
10% implied
1:2 10.00
10% implied
2:1 11.00
9% implied
0:1 13.00
8% implied
1:0 15.00
7% implied
2:0 17.00
6% implied
0:2 17.00
6% implied
FC Midtjylland/Draw 1.53
65% implied
FC Midtjylland/Ajax 1.28
78% implied
Draw/Ajax 1.44
69% implied
FC Midtjylland 3.00
33% implied
Draw 2.50
40% implied
Ajax 2.88
35% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability is 100 divided by the odds and includes the bookmaker margin.

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax: preview and prediction

FC Midtjylland host Ajax in the World UEFA Europa Conference League (League Stage - 3) on Thursday, 5th November 2026 at 18:45 at MCH Arena, Herning. FC Midtjylland sit 25th in the table and Ajax 13th.

FC Midtjylland are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-L-W-W-W). Ajax are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-W-W-W).

In the last 2 meetings, FC Midtjylland won 0, Ajax won 2 and 0 ended level. These games average 3.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.

Our goal model expects about 1.75 goals for FC Midtjylland and 1.9 for Ajax. It gives Ajax the edge (36% home win, 22% draw, 42% away win), 70% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Verdict: our pick is B T T S (BTTS) at odds of 1.40. We also like BTTS (yes) at odds of 1.40, Over 2.5 (+2.5) at odds of 1.49, Over 0.5 (+0.5) at odds of 1.21.

FAQs

What is the best prediction for FC Midtjylland vs Ajax?

Our top tip is B T T S (BTTS) at odds of 1.40.

Who will win FC Midtjylland vs Ajax?

Ajax are favourites: our model gives FC Midtjylland 36%, the draw 22% and Ajax 42%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 70% chance in our model, and it happened in 100% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.7 goals in total, with a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is FC Midtjylland vs Ajax?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 5th November 2026 at 18:45 at MCH Arena, Herning.

Who is the referee?

P. Raczkowski is in charge of this game.

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