World: UEFA Europa League

Thu, 5th Nov, 2026 · 21:00 · League Stage - 4

Benfica

4th in the table

WWWWW
FULL TIME 3 - 1 Half time 1 - 0

Lech Poznan

33rd in the table

WDWLW
6' Rafa Silva
42' Daniel Banjaqui
60' Manuel Silva
67' Gianluca Prestianni
90' Heorhii Sudakov
Y. Agnero 27'
Leo Bengtsson 72'
Prediction: Home (1.14 odds) Won
88% confidence

Combo Winner : Benfica and +2.5 goals

Estádio da Luz, Lisbon Referee Martin Matosa

Match odds

Bet365
Home 1.12 84% implied
Draw 9.50 10% implied
Away 15.00 6% implied

All our tips for this match

Home 1 ✓ @ 1.14
Over 2.5 +2.5 ✓ @ 1.26
Over 2.5 Over 2.5 ✓ @ 1.26

Head to head

Last 2 meetings

2games

2Benfica wins
0Draws
0Lech Poznan wins
5Goals per game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
03 Dec 2020
UEFA Europa League Benfica 4 - 0 Lech Poznan
22 Oct 2020
UEFA Europa League Lech Poznan 2 - 4 Benfica

UEFA Europa League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Bournemouth 4400 11:2 +9 12 WWWW
2 Ferencvarosi TC 4400 11:3 +8 12 WWWW
3 Olympiakos Piraeus 4310 4:1 +3 10 DWWW
4 Benfica 3300 10:2 +8 9 WWW
5 Bayer Leverkusen 3300 8:0 +8 9 WWW
6 Union St. Gilloise 3210 8:1 +7 7 WDW
7 Juventus 3210 9:3 +6 7 DWW
8 Beşiktaş 3210 9:5 +4 7 DWW
9 Sunderland 3210 4:2 +2 7 DWW
10 Levski Sofia 4211 4:3 +1 7 WWDL
11 NEC Nijmegen 4211 8:9 -1 7 WWDL
12 Lyon 4211 6:7 -1 7 DLWW
13 AZ Alkmaar 3201 6:2 +4 6 WWL
14 Anderlecht 4202 6:3 +3 6 WWLL
15 Rennes 4130 4:3 +1 6 DDWD
16 Omonia Nicosia 4202 6:7 -1 6 LLWW
17 Real Sociedad 4121 9:4 +5 5 DWDL
18 Crystal Palace 4121 9:6 +3 5 DDLW
19 Sparta Praha 4112 6:6 0 4 LLDW
20 1899 Hoffenheim 4112 6:6 0 4 DWLL
21 Dinamo Zagreb 3111 3:4 -1 4 LWD
22 Sturm Graz 3111 1:3 -2 4 WLD
23 Red Bull Salzburg 4112 3:8 -5 4 LDLW
24 Celta Vigo 3102 3:4 -1 3 WLL
25 OFI 3102 3:4 -1 3 LLW
26 AC Milan 4103 4:7 -3 3 LLWL
27 Torreense 3102 4:7 -3 3 LLW
28 Jagiellonia 4103 4:7 -3 3 LLWL
29 Plzen 4103 3:7 -4 3 WLLL
30 Celje 3012 2:7 -5 1 DLL
31 Hapoel Beer Sheva 3012 1:6 -5 1 LLD
32 Lillestrom 4013 2:10 -8 1 LLDL
33 Lech Poznan 3012 1:9 -8 1 DLL
34 Marseille 3003 1:6 -5 0 LLL
35 Celtic 3003 3:9 -6 0 LLL
36 Ararat-Armenia 3003 2:11 -9 0 LLL

Top scorers

UEFA Europa League
1 L. Diony
Omonia Nicosia 4
goals 0
assists 7
apps
2 A. Cissè
AC Milan 3
goals 0
assists 3
apps
3 Yeremy Pino
Crystal Palace 3
goals 0
assists 3
apps
4 T. Chery
NEC Nijmegen 3
goals 0
assists 3
apps
5 Sergio Gómez
Real Sociedad 3
goals 0
assists 3
apps
6 K. Zachariassen
Ferencvarosi TC 3
goals 2
assists 11
apps
7 D. Beljo
Dinamo Zagreb 3
goals 0
assists 2
apps
8 N. Woltemade
Juventus 3
goals 1
assists 3
apps
9 B. Yusuf
Ferencvarosi TC 2
goals 2
assists 11
apps
10 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Beşiktaş 2
goals 1
assists 9
apps

Recent form

9 W0 D1 Lin the last 10
02 Nov 2026
Primeira Liga Benfica 1 - 0 Alverca W
29 Oct 2026
Taça da Liga Benfica 4 - 1 GIL Vicente W
26 Oct 2026
Primeira Liga Santa Clara 1 - 2 Benfica W
22 Oct 2026
UEFA Europa League Omonia Nicosia 1 - 4 Benfica W
15 Oct 2026
UEFA Europa League Benfica 4 - 1 Celtic W
11 Oct 2026
Primeira Liga Benfica 2 - 0 Vitória SC W
20 Sep 2026
Primeira Liga FC Porto 3 - 1 Benfica L
16 Sep 2026
UEFA Europa League AC Milan 0 - 2 Benfica W
13 Sep 2026
Primeira Liga Benfica 3 - 1 GIL Vicente W
09 Sep 2026
Primeira Liga Moreirense 0 - 4 Benfica W
5 W2 D3 Lin the last 10
31 Oct 2026
Ekstraklasa Lech Poznan 3 - 1 Wisla Krakow W
28 Oct 2026
Cup Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 - 0 Lech Poznan L
25 Oct 2026
Ekstraklasa Legia Warszawa 1 - 2 Lech Poznan W
22 Oct 2026
UEFA Europa League Lech Poznan 1 - 1 Sunderland D
18 Oct 2026
Ekstraklasa Lech Poznan 6 - 1 Korona Kielce W
15 Oct 2026
UEFA Europa League Lech Poznan 0 - 4 Bayer Leverkusen L
10 Oct 2026
Ekstraklasa Slask Wroclaw 1 - 4 Lech Poznan W
03 Oct 2026
Friendlies Clubs Lech Poznan 2 - 2 Energie Cottbus D
20 Sep 2026
Ekstraklasa Lech Poznan 5 - 1 Radomiak Radom W
17 Sep 2026
UEFA Europa League Crystal Palace 4 - 0 Lech Poznan L

Who wins?

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
69% 14% 15%
Book lines
50% 50% 0%
Bookmaker
84% 10% 6%

Benfica · Draw · Lech Poznan

Value spotted: Lech Poznan win at 15.00 (model 15% vs market 6%)

Most likely scores

3-1
7.3%
2-1
6.7%
4-1
5.9%
3-2
5.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-0
4.7%

Expected goals 3.25 Benfica · 1.55 Lech Poznan

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals84%
Over 3.5 goals69%
Both teams score74%

Team comparison

75%
Form
25%
62%
Attack
38%
73%
Defence
27%
80%
Goal model
20%
100%
Head to head
0%
80%
Goals
20%
74%
Overall
26%

Season numbers

UEFA Europa League 2026

When the goals come

4
0-15'
1
4
16-30'
4
5
31-45'
2
5
46-60'
2
3
61-75'
3
7
76-90'
4
1
0-15'
2
0
16-30'
3
3
31-45'
4
1
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
2
BenficaLech Poznan
9Played7
7Won3
1Drawn2
1Lost2
3.2Goals scored per game2.3
0.9Goals conceded per game1.6
2Clean sheets3
0Failed to score2
2Longest winning run3
6-1Biggest win7-0
5/5Penalties scored0/0

This match

56%
Ball Possession
44%
24
Total Shots
6
11
Shots on Goal
5
6
Corner Kicks
3
15
Fouls
11

Lineups

Benfica 4-2-3-1
  1. 1 A. Trubin
  2. 58 Daniel Banjaqui
  3. 3 A. Circati
  4. 44 Tomás Araújo
  5. 34 S. El Karouani
  6. 10 H. Sudakov
  7. 16 Manu
  8. 27 Rafa
  9. 30 C. Echeverri
  10. 21 A. Schjelderup
  11. 22 J. Durán
Lech Poznan 4-2-3-1
  1. 1 M. Lis
  2. 2 Joel Pereira
  3. 72 M. Skrzypczak
  4. 59 T. Yegbe
  5. 15 M. Gurgul
  6. 22 R. Murawski
  7. 43 A. Kozubal
  8. 10 P. Wålemark
  9. 21 Pablo Rodríguez
  10. 11 D. Håkans
  11. 7 Y. Agnero

What comes next

Benfica
Lech Poznan (H)05 Nov
Estrela (A)08 Nov
Torreense (A)21 Nov
Plzen (A)26 Nov
Famalicao (H)30 Nov
Lech Poznan
Benfica (A)05 Nov
Zaglebie Lubin (H)08 Nov
GKS Katowice (A)22 Nov
Union St. Gilloise (A)26 Nov
Pogon Szczecin (H)28 Nov

Green is a bottom-third opponent, grey is mid-table, red is a top-third opponent.

Missing players

Benfica
L. Barreiro Inactive
E. Barrenechea Injury
D. Lukebakio Injury
Lech Poznan
A. Douglas Ankle Injury
A. Gholizadeh Knee Injury
M. Ishak Inactive
W. Monka Injury
J. Moutinho Inactive
A. Sayyadmanesh Groin Injury

Betting markets

Bet365
Benfica 1.12
89% implied · Our tip
Draw 9.50
11% implied
Lech Poznan 15.00
7% implied
Benfica 1.03
97% implied · Our tip
Lech Poznan 15.00
7% implied
Over 0.5 1.01
99% implied
Under 0.5 29.00
3% implied
Over 1.5 1.07
93% implied
Under 1.5 9.00
11% implied
Over 2.5 1.25
80% implied · Our tip
Under 2.5 4.00
25% implied
Over 3.5 1.62
62% implied
Under 3.5 2.30
43% implied
Over 4.5 2.38
42% implied
Under 4.5 1.57
64% implied
Benfica/Draw 23.00
4% implied
Benfica/Lech Poznan 51.00
2% implied
Draw/Lech Poznan 34.00
3% implied
Draw/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Benfica/Benfica 1.44
69% implied
Draw/Benfica 4.33
23% implied
Lech Poznan/Benfica 17.00
6% implied
Lech Poznan/Draw 29.00
3% implied
Lech Poznan/Lech Poznan 34.00
3% implied
Yes 1.91
52% implied
No 1.91
52% implied
3:0 8.00
13% implied
2:0 8.50
12% implied
4:0 9.00
11% implied
3:1 11.00
9% implied
2:1 12.00
8% implied
4:1 13.00
8% implied
5:0 13.00
8% implied
1:0 15.00
7% implied
Benfica/Draw 1.02
98% implied
Benfica/Lech Poznan 1.07
93% implied
Draw/Lech Poznan 6.00
17% implied
Benfica 1.40
71% implied · Our tip
Draw 3.60
28% implied
Lech Poznan 12.00
8% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability is 100 divided by the odds and includes the bookmaker margin.

Benfica vs Lech Poznan: preview and prediction

Benfica host Lech Poznan in the World UEFA Europa League (League Stage - 4) on Thursday, 5th November 2026 at 21:00 at Estádio da Luz, Lisbon. Benfica sit 4th in the table and Lech Poznan 33rd.

Benfica are flying, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-W). Lech Poznan are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-W-L-W).

In the last 2 meetings, Benfica won 2, Lech Poznan won 0 and 0 ended level. These games average 5 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.

Our goal model expects about 3.25 goals for Benfica and 1.55 for Lech Poznan. It gives Benfica the edge (69% home win, 14% draw, 15% away win), 84% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 3-1.

Our pick was Home (1) at odds of 1.14. We also like Over 2.5 (+2.5) at odds of 1.26, Over 2.5 at odds of 1.26.

FAQs

What is the best prediction for Benfica vs Lech Poznan?

Our top tip is Home (1) at odds of 1.14.

Who will win Benfica vs Lech Poznan?

Benfica are favourites: our model gives Benfica 69%, the draw 14% and Lech Poznan 15%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 74% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 4.8 goals in total, with a 84% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Benfica vs Lech Poznan?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 5th November 2026 at 21:00 at Estádio da Luz, Lisbon.

Who is the referee?

Martin Matosa is in charge of this game.

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