World: UEFA Europa League

Thu, 5th Nov, 2026 · 21:00 · League Stage - 4

Bayer Leverkusen

3rd in the table

WWLWL
KICK OFF 21:00

Marseille

34th in the table

LWLWW
Prediction: Home (1.41 odds)
71% confidence

Winner : Bayer Leverkusen

BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen Referee Orel Grinfeld

Match odds

Bet365
Home 1.36 69% implied
Draw 5.50 17% implied
Away 7.00 13% implied

All our tips for this match

Home 1 @ 1.41
Over 0.5 +0.5 @ 1.22
Over 2.5 +2.5 @ 1.44

Head to head

Last 1 meetings

1games

1Bayer Leverkusen wins
0Draws
0Marseille wins
3Goals per game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
02 Aug 2023
Friendlies Clubs Marseille 1 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen

UEFA Europa League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Olympiakos Piraeus 4310 4:1 +3 10 DWWW
2 Benfica 3300 10:2 +8 9 WWW
3 Bayer Leverkusen 3300 8:0 +8 9 WWW
4 Bournemouth 3300 8:1 +7 9 WWW
5 Ferencvarosi TC 3300 9:3 +6 9 WWW
6 Union St. Gilloise 3210 8:1 +7 7 WDW
7 Juventus 3210 9:3 +6 7 DWW
8 Beşiktaş 3210 9:5 +4 7 DWW
9 Sunderland 3210 4:2 +2 7 DWW
10 AZ Alkmaar 3201 6:2 +4 6 WWL
11 Omonia Nicosia 3201 5:4 +1 6 LWW
12 Rennes 4130 4:3 +1 6 DDWD
13 Lyon 3201 5:6 -1 6 LWW
14 Real Sociedad 3111 8:3 +5 4 WDL
15 Crystal Palace 3111 8:5 +3 4 DLW
16 Sparta Praha 3111 5:3 +2 4 LDW
17 Levski Sofia 3111 3:3 0 4 WDL
18 Dinamo Zagreb 3111 3:4 -1 4 LWD
19 Sturm Graz 3111 1:3 -2 4 WLD
20 NEC Nijmegen 3111 5:8 -3 4 WDL
21 Red Bull Salzburg 3111 3:6 -3 4 DLW
22 Anderlecht 3102 4:3 +1 3 WLL
23 1899 Hoffenheim 3102 5:5 0 3 WLL
24 AC Milan 3102 4:5 -1 3 LWL
25 Celta Vigo 3102 3:4 -1 3 WLL
26 OFI 3102 3:4 -1 3 LLW
27 Jagiellonia 3102 4:6 -2 3 LWL
28 Torreense 3102 4:7 -3 3 LLW
29 Celje 3012 2:7 -5 1 DLL
30 Hapoel Beer Sheva 3012 1:6 -5 1 LLD
31 Lillestrom 3012 2:9 -7 1 LDL
32 Lech Poznan 3012 1:9 -8 1 DLL
33 Plzen 3003 2:7 -5 0 LLL
34 Marseille 3003 1:6 -5 0 LLL
35 Celtic 3003 3:9 -6 0 LLL
36 Ararat-Armenia 3003 2:11 -9 0 LLL

Top scorers

UEFA Europa League
1 L. Diony
Omonia Nicosia 4
goals 0
assists 7
apps
2 A. Cissè
AC Milan 3
goals 0
assists 3
apps
3 Yeremy Pino
Crystal Palace 3
goals 0
assists 3
apps
4 Sergio Gómez
Real Sociedad 3
goals 0
assists 3
apps
5 K. Zachariassen
Ferencvarosi TC 3
goals 2
assists 11
apps
6 D. Beljo
Dinamo Zagreb 3
goals 0
assists 2
apps
7 N. Woltemade
Juventus 3
goals 1
assists 3
apps
8 B. Yusuf
Ferencvarosi TC 2
goals 2
assists 11
apps
9 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Beşiktaş 2
goals 1
assists 9
apps
10 L. Joseph
Ferencvarosi TC 2
goals 1
assists 9
apps

Recent form

7 W1 D2 Lin the last 10
31 Oct 2026
Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 4 VfB Stuttgart L
28 Oct 2026
DFB Pokal Bayer Leverkusen 5 - 2 1. FC Nürnberg W
25 Oct 2026
Bundesliga 1899 Hoffenheim 3 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen L
22 Oct 2026
UEFA Europa League OFI 0 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen W
18 Oct 2026
Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 1 SC Freiburg W
15 Oct 2026
UEFA Europa League Lech Poznan 0 - 4 Bayer Leverkusen W
10 Oct 2026
Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 3 - 4 Bayer Leverkusen W
20 Sep 2026
Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 0 RB Leipzig W
16 Sep 2026
UEFA Europa League Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 0 Celje W
12 Sep 2026
Bundesliga FC Augsburg 2 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen D
4 W0 D6 Lin the last 10
01 Nov 2026
Ligue 1 Marseille 2 - 0 Toulouse W
25 Oct 2026
Ligue 1 Marseille 4 - 3 Le Havre W
22 Oct 2026
UEFA Europa League Sturm Graz 1 - 0 Marseille L
18 Oct 2026
Ligue 1 Angers 2 - 5 Marseille W
15 Oct 2026
UEFA Europa League Marseille 0 - 1 Olympiakos Piraeus L
11 Oct 2026
Ligue 1 Estac Troyes 0 - 2 Marseille W
20 Sep 2026
Ligue 1 Marseille 1 - 2 Paris Saint Germain L
17 Sep 2026
UEFA Europa League Beşiktaş 4 - 1 Marseille L
11 Sep 2026
Ligue 1 Rennes 1 - 0 Marseille L
06 Sep 2026
Ligue 1 Marseille 2 - 3 Paris FC L

Who wins?

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
77% 16% 7%
Book lines
50% 50% 0%
Bookmaker
69% 17% 13%

Bayer Leverkusen · Draw · Marseille

Value spotted: Bayer Leverkusen win at 1.36 (model 77% vs market 69%)

Most likely scores

2-0
16.2%
1-0
14.4%
3-0
12.1%
2-1
8.1%
1-1
7.2%
4-0
6.8%

Expected goals 2.25 Bayer Leverkusen · 0.5 Marseille

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams score35%

Team comparison

100%
Form
0%
89%
Attack
11%
100%
Defence
0%
100%
Goal model
0%
100%
Head to head
0%
67%
Goals
33%
78%
Overall
22%

Season numbers

UEFA Europa League 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
1
4
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0
1
0-15'
2
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
2
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
1
Bayer LeverkusenMarseille
3Played3
3Won0
0Drawn0
0Lost3
2.7Goals scored per game0.3
0Goals conceded per game2
3Clean sheets0
0Failed to score2
3Longest winning run0
2-0Biggest win-
2/2Penalties scored0/0

What comes next

Bayer Leverkusen
Marseille (H)05 Nov
1. FC Köln (A)08 Nov
SC Paderborn 07 (H)21 Nov
Dinamo Zagreb (A)26 Nov
Borussia Dortmund (A)29 Nov
Marseille
Bayer Leverkusen (A)05 Nov
Lens (A)08 Nov
Le Mans (H)22 Nov
Levski Sofia (H)26 Nov
Auxerre (A)29 Nov

Green is a bottom-third opponent, grey is mid-table, red is a top-third opponent.

Missing players

Bayer Leverkusen
E. Ben Seghir Muscle Injury
V. Boniface Off the roster
M. Diaby Hamstring Injury
G. Doue Calf Injury
K. Eichhorn Illness
C. Kofane Muscle Injury
T. Oermann Off the roster
M. Terrier Muscle Injury
L. Bade Head Injury
N. Tella Muscle Injury
Marseille
D. Cornelius Hip Injury
Emerson Knee Injury

Betting markets

Bet365
Bayer Leverkusen 1.36
74% implied · Our tip
Draw 5.50
18% implied
Marseille 7.00
14% implied
Bayer Leverkusen 1.12
89% implied · Our tip
Marseille 6.00
17% implied
Over 0.5 1.01
99% implied
Under 0.5 21.00
5% implied
Over 1.5 1.12
89% implied
Under 1.5 6.00
17% implied
Over 2.5 1.44
69% implied
Under 2.5 2.75
36% implied
Over 3.5 2.10
48% implied
Under 3.5 1.73
58% implied
Over 4.5 3.50
29% implied
Under 4.5 1.30
77% implied
Bayer Leverkusen/Draw 17.00
6% implied
Bayer Leverkusen/Marseille 41.00
2% implied
Draw/Marseille 17.00
6% implied
Draw/Draw 8.50
12% implied
Bayer Leverkusen/Bayer Leverkusen 1.91
52% implied
Draw/Bayer Leverkusen 4.33
23% implied
Marseille/Bayer Leverkusen 17.00
6% implied
Marseille/Draw 19.00
5% implied
Marseille/Marseille 13.00
8% implied
Yes 1.67
60% implied
No 2.10
48% implied
2:0 8.50
12% implied
2:1 9.00
11% implied
1:0 10.00
10% implied
3:0 10.00
10% implied
3:1 10.00
10% implied
1:1 11.00
9% implied
4:0 15.00
7% implied
4:1 17.00
6% implied
Bayer Leverkusen/Draw 1.10
91% implied
Bayer Leverkusen/Marseille 1.14
88% implied
Draw/Marseille 3.00
33% implied
Bayer Leverkusen 1.73
58% implied · Our tip
Draw 2.75
36% implied
Marseille 6.50
15% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability is 100 divided by the odds and includes the bookmaker margin.

Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille: preview and prediction

Bayer Leverkusen host Marseille in the World UEFA Europa League (League Stage - 4) on Thursday, 5th November 2026 at 21:00 at BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen. Bayer Leverkusen sit 3rd in the table and Marseille 34th.

Bayer Leverkusen are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-L-W-L). Marseille are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-W-W).

In the last 1 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 1, Marseille won 0 and 0 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.

Our goal model expects about 2.25 goals for Bayer Leverkusen and 0.5 for Marseille. It gives Bayer Leverkusen the edge (77% home win, 16% draw, 7% away win), 52% for over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-0.

Verdict: our pick is Home (1) at odds of 1.41. We also like Over 0.5 (+0.5) at odds of 1.22, Over 2.5 (+2.5) at odds of 1.44.

FAQs

What is the best prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?

Our top tip is Home (1) at odds of 1.41.

Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?

Bayer Leverkusen are favourites: our model gives Bayer Leverkusen 77%, the draw 16% and Marseille 7%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 35% chance in our model, and it happened in 100% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.8 goals in total, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 5th November 2026 at 21:00 at BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen.

Who is the referee?

Orel Grinfeld is in charge of this game.

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