Italy: Serie A
Sat, 24th Oct, 2026 · 17:00 · Regular Season - 8
Napoli
10th in the table
AS Roma
3rd in the table
Combo Double chance : draw or AS Roma and -3.5 goals
Sat, 24th Oct, 2026 · 17:00 · Regular Season - 8
10th in the table
3rd in the table
Combo Double chance : draw or AS Roma and -3.5 goals
10games
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21:9 | +12 | 19 | WWDWW | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14:4 | +10 | 19 | WWWDW | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16:3 | +13 | 17 | WDDWW | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:7 | +7 | 17 | WWDLW | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | +7 | 15 | WDWDD | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | +4 | 13 | WLWDW | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | +2 | 13 | WWWDL | |
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 13 | LLDWW | |
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 11 | LDWLD | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | +3 | 10 | LWDWL | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 9 | LWLLL | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 | WLLWL | |
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 | WLWDL | |
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 8 | LLDLW | |
| 15 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 7 | LWLWL | |
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 4 | LLLLL | |
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 | LWLDL | |
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 4 | LLDWL | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 4 | LLWLD | |
| 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6:16 | -10 | 3 | WLLLL |
Napoli · Draw · AS Roma
Value spotted: AS Roma win at 2.70 (model 41% vs market 35%)
Expected goals 1.15 Napoli · 1.35 AS Roma
Green is a bottom-third opponent, grey is mid-table, red is a top-third opponent.
Odds can change. Implied probability is 100 divided by the odds and includes the bookmaker margin.
Napoli host AS Roma in the Italy Serie A (Regular Season - 8) on Saturday, 24th October 2026 at 17:00 at Maradona Stadium, Naples. Napoli sit 10th in the table and AS Roma 3rd.
Napoli have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-W-D). AS Roma have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-L-W-W-D).
In the last 10 meetings, Napoli won 4, AS Roma won 1 and 5 ended level. These games average 2 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 30%.
Our goal model expects about 1.15 goals for Napoli and 1.35 for AS Roma. It gives AS Roma the edge (32% home win, 27% draw, 41% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.
Our pick was Draw (x).
Our top tip is Draw (x).
AS Roma are favourites: our model gives Napoli 32%, the draw 27% and AS Roma 41%.
Both teams scoring has a 51% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.
Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Kick-off is on Saturday, 24th October 2026 at 17:00 at Maradona Stadium, Naples.
Andrea Colombo is in charge of this game.