Lazio vs Parma Prediction, H2H & Stats

Match odds

Bet365

Home 1.48 64% implied

Draw 4.33 22% implied

Away 7.00 14% implied

All our tips for this match

Home 1

Over 1.5 +1.5

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

10games

7Lazio wins

2Draws

1Parma wins

2.5Goals per game

50%Both scored

40%Over 2.5

04 Apr 2026
Serie A Lazio

1 - 1

Parma

13 Dec 2025
Serie A Parma

0 - 1

Lazio

28 Apr 2025
Serie A Lazio

2 - 2

Parma

01 Dec 2024
Serie A Parma

3 - 1

Lazio

12 May 2021
Serie A Lazio

1 - 0

Parma

21 Jan 2021
Coppa Italia Lazio

2 - 1

Parma

10 Jan 2021
Serie A Parma

0 - 2

Lazio

09 Feb 2020
Serie A Parma

0 - 1

Lazio

22 Sep 2019
Serie A Lazio

2 - 0

Parma

17 Mar 2019
Serie A Lazio

4 - 1

Parma

Serie A table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts	Form
1	Inter	7	6	1	0	21:9	+12	19	WWDWW
2	Lazio	7	6	1	0	14:4	+10	19	WWWDW
3	AS Roma	7	5	2	0	16:3	+13	17	WDDWW
4	Como	8	5	2	1	14:7	+7	17	WWDLW
5	AC Milan	7	4	3	0	14:7	+7	15	WDWDD
6	Frosinone	7	4	1	2	13:9	+4	13	WLWDW
7	Torino	8	4	1	3	13:11	+2	13	WWWDL
8	Cagliari	8	4	1	3	6:9	-3	13	LLDWW
9	Juventus	7	3	2	2	9:8	+1	11	LDWLD
10	Napoli	7	3	1	3	10:7	+3	10	LWDWL
11	Atalanta	7	3	0	4	10:11	-1	9	LWLLL
12	Lecce	7	3	0	4	9:12	-3	9	WLLWL
13	Bologna	8	2	2	4	8:10	-2	8	WLWDL
14	Sassuolo	8	2	2	4	12:16	-4	8	LLDLW
15	Monza	8	2	1	5	15:18	-3	7	LWLWL
16	Udinese	7	1	1	5	9:16	-7	4	LLLLL
17	Genoa	7	1	1	5	5:13	-8	4	LWLDL
18	Fiorentina	7	1	1	5	8:17	-9	4	LLDWL
19	Parma	7	1	1	5	4:13	-9	4	LLWLD
20	Venezia	7	1	0	6	6:16	-10	3	WLLLL

Top scorers

Serie A

1

A. Raimondo
Frosinone 7
goals 0
assists 7
apps

2

Gustavo Varela
Monza 7
goals 1
assists 7
apps

3

D. Malen
AS Roma 6
goals 0
assists 6
apps

4

A. Rabiot
AC Milan 4
goals 3
assists 7
apps

5

M. Thuram
Inter 4
goals 2
assists 6
apps

6

N. Krstović
Atalanta 4
goals 1
assists 7
apps

7

Lautaro Martínez
Inter 4
goals 0
assists 5
apps

8

D. Maldini
Cagliari 4
goals 0
assists 7
apps

9

G. Kvernadze
Frosinone 3
goals 1
assists 7
apps

10

J. Ekkelenkamp
Udinese 3
goals 1
assists 7
apps

Recent form

7 W2 D0 Lin the last 9

18 Oct 2026
Serie A Juventus 0 - 3 Lazio W

11 Oct 2026
Serie A Lazio 3 - 1 Monza W

03 Oct 2026
Friendlies Clubs Lazio 3 - 3 Juve Stabia D

27 Sep 2026
Friendlies Clubs Lazio 2 - 0 Arezzo W

19 Sep 2026
Serie A Venezia 0 - 2 Lazio W

12 Sep 2026
Serie A Lazio 2 - 2 AC Milan D

07 Sep 2026
Serie A Udinese 1 - 2 Lazio W

30 Aug 2026
Serie A Lazio 1 - 0 Genoa W

24 Aug 2026
Serie A Bologna 0 - 1 Lazio W

2 W1 D6 Lin the last 9

19 Oct 2026
Serie A Parma 0 - 3 Torino L

10 Oct 2026
Serie A Inter 3 - 0 Parma L

20 Sep 2026
Serie A Parma 2 - 1 Genoa W

14 Sep 2026
Serie A Como 2 - 1 Parma L

06 Sep 2026
Serie A Parma 1 - 1 Monza D

01 Sep 2026
Coppa Italia Parma 0 - 2 Cremonese L

29 Aug 2026
Serie A Juventus 2 - 0 Parma L

22 Aug 2026
Serie A Parma 0 - 1 Cagliari L

14 Aug 2026
Coppa Italia Parma 2 - 0 Catania W

Who wins?

1 · X · 2

Our goal model

72% 18% 10%

Book lines

45% 45% 10%

Bookmaker

64% 22% 14%

Lazio · Draw · Parma

Value spotted: Lazio win at 1.48 (model 72% vs market 64%)

Most likely scores

2-0
14.1%

1-0
13.1%

3-0
10.1%

2-1
9.1%

1-1
8.5%

3-1
6.5%

Expected goals 2.15 Lazio · 0.65 Parma

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals77%

Over 2.5 goals53%

Over 3.5 goals31%

Both teams score42%

Team comparison

76%

Form

24%

75%

Attack

25%

71%

Defence

29%

93%

Goal model

7%

62%

Head to head

38%

50%

Goals

50%

71%

Overall

28%

Season numbers

Serie A 2026

When the goals come

2

0-15'

0

2

16-30'

0

2

31-45'

1

3

46-60'

1

2

61-75'

0

3

76-90'

2

0

0-15'

2

0

16-30'

3

0

31-45'

2

46-60'

0

2

61-75'

3

0

76-90'

3

LazioParma

7Played7

6Won1

1Drawn1

0Lost5

2Goals scored per game0.6

0.6Goals conceded per game1.9

4Clean sheets0

0Failed to score4

3Longest winning run1

3-1Biggest win2-1

1/1Penalties scored0/0

This match

70%

Ball Possession

30%

8

Total Shots

6

1

Shots on Goal

3

4

Corner Kicks

2

Fouls

5

Lineups

Lazio 4-3-3

35 C. Mandas
15 R. Floriani Mussolini
37 J. Šutalo
25 O. Provstgaard
17 Nuno Tavares
16 D. Frattesi
21 R. Belahyane
24 K. Taylor
11 G. Isaksen
14 T. Noslin
10 M. Zaccagni

Parma 5-3-2

40 E. Corvi
15 E. Del Prato
34 Diego Carlos
37 M. Troilo
72 D. Drobnic
14 E. Valeri
16 M. Keita
4 V. Sierro
32 C. Ordoñez
19 E. Touré
9 D. Romero

What comes next

Lazio

Sassuolo (A)27 Oct

Cagliari (H)01 Nov

Napoli (A)08 Nov

Lecce (H)21 Nov

Torino (A)29 Nov

Parma

Udinese (H)28 Oct

Atalanta (A)02 Nov

Bologna (H)07 Nov

AS Roma (H)21 Nov

Frosinone (A)29 Nov

Green is a bottom-third opponent, grey is mid-table, red is a top-third opponent.

Missing players

Lazio

A. Furlanetto Knee Injury

A. Gudmundsson Shoulder Injury

A. Marusic Muscle Injury

N. Rovella Calf Injury

Parma

P. Almqvist Calf Injury

N. Elphege Illness

H. Nicolussi Caviglia Thigh Injury

L. Valenti Coach's decision

Betting markets

Bet365

Lazio 1.48

68% implied · Our tip

Draw 4.33

23% implied

Parma 7.00

14% implied

Lazio 1.14

88% implied · Our tip

Parma 5.50

18% implied

Over 0.5 1.05

95% implied

Under 0.5 11.00

9% implied

Over 1.5 1.28

78% implied

Under 1.5 3.75

27% implied

Over 2.5 1.91

52% implied

Under 2.5 1.91

52% implied

Over 3.5 3.40

29% implied

Under 3.5 1.33

75% implied

Over 4.5 6.00

17% implied

Under 4.5 1.12

89% implied

Lazio/Draw 15.00

7% implied

Lazio/Parma 41.00

2% implied

Draw/Parma 13.00

8% implied

Draw/Draw 6.00

17% implied

Lazio/Lazio 2.20

45% implied

Draw/Lazio 4.00

25% implied

Parma/Lazio 23.00

4% implied

Parma/Draw 19.00

5% implied

Parma/Parma 12.00

8% implied

Yes 2.00

50% implied

No 1.75

57% implied

1:0 6.50

15% implied

2:0 6.50

15% implied

1:1 8.00

13% implied

2:1 8.50

12% implied

3:0 10.00

10% implied

0:0 11.00

9% implied

3:1 13.00

8% implied

0:1 15.00

7% implied

Lazio/Draw 1.10

91% implied

Lazio/Parma 1.20

83% implied

Draw/Parma 2.62

38% implied

Lazio 2.00

50% implied · Our tip

Draw 2.30

43% implied

Parma 7.00

14% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability is 100 divided by the odds and includes the bookmaker margin.

Lazio vs Parma: preview and prediction

Lazio host Parma in the Italy Serie A (Regular Season - 8) on Saturday, 24th October 2026 at 19:45 at Stadio Olimpico, Rome. Lazio sit 2nd in the table and Parma 19th.

Lazio are flying, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-D-W-W). Parma are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-W-L-L).

In the last 10 meetings, Lazio won 7, Parma won 1 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 40%.

Our goal model expects about 2.15 goals for Lazio and 0.65 for Parma. It gives Lazio the edge (72% home win, 18% draw, 10% away win), 53% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-0.

Verdict: our pick is Home (1). We also like Over 1.5 (+1.5).

FAQs

What is the best prediction for Lazio vs Parma?

Our top tip is Home (1).

Who will win Lazio vs Parma?

Lazio are favourites: our model gives Lazio 72%, the draw 18% and Parma 10%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 42% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.8 goals in total, with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Lazio vs Parma?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 24th October 2026 at 19:45 at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

Who is the referee?

Alberto Ruben Arena is in charge of this game.

Italy: Serie A

Lazio

Parma

Match odds

All our tips for this match

Head to head

Serie A table

Top scorers

Recent form

Who wins?

Most likely scores

Goal lines

Team comparison

Season numbers

When the goals come

This match

Lineups

What comes next

Missing players

Betting markets

Lazio vs Parma: preview and prediction

FAQs