World: UEFA Nations League

Sun, 15th Nov, 2026 · 20:45 · League A - 6

Spain

1st in the table

WWWWW
KICK OFF 20:45

England

2nd in the table

LWWWW
Prediction: Over 0.5 (1.27 odds)
79% confidence

Combo Double chance : Spain or draw and +1.5 goals

Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid Referee Clement Turpin

Match odds

Bet365
Home 1.75 54% implied
Draw 4.10 23% implied
Away 4.10 23% implied

All our tips for this match

Over 0.5 +0.5 @ 1.27
Over 1.5 +1.5 @ 1.19
B T T S BTTS @ 1.58
Over 2.5 +2.5 @ 1.65
BTTS yes @ 1.58
12 12

Head to head

Last 4 meetings

4games

3Spain wins
0Draws
1England wins
4Goals per game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
26 Sep 2026
UEFA Nations League England 2 - 3 Spain
14 Jul 2024
Euro Championship Spain 2 - 1 England
15 Oct 2018
UEFA Nations League Spain 2 - 3 England
08 Sep 2018
UEFA Nations League England 1 - 2 Spain

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Spain 5500 14:5 +9 15 WWWWW
2 England 5401 16:4 +12 12 WWWWL
3 Croatia 5104 5:16 -11 3 LLLLW
4 Czechia 5005 2:12 -10 0 LLLLL

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League
1 H. Kane
England 7
goals 1
assists 5
apps
2 M. Olise
France 5
goals 2
assists 5
apps
3 A. Guðjohnsen
Iceland 5
goals 1
assists 5
apps
4 O. Óskarsson
Iceland 4
goals 2
assists 5
apps
5 T. Reijnders
Netherlands 4
goals 1
assists 5
apps
6 L. Walta
Finland 4
goals 1
assists 5
apps
7 Lamine Yamal
Spain 4
goals 1
assists 4
apps
8 V. Gyökeres
Sweden 4
goals 0
assists 4
apps
9 F. Esposito
Italy 4
goals 1
assists 5
apps
10 T. Parrott
Rep. Of Ireland 4
goals 0
assists 4
apps

Recent form

10 W0 D0 Lin the last 10
12 Nov 2026
UEFA Nations League Czech Republic 0 - 2 Spain W
06 Oct 2026
UEFA Nations League Croatia 1 - 2 Spain W
03 Oct 2026
UEFA Nations League Spain 3 - 1 Czech Republic W
29 Sep 2026
UEFA Nations League Spain 4 - 1 Croatia W
26 Sep 2026
UEFA Nations League England 2 - 3 Spain W
19 Jul 2026
World Cup Spain 1 - 0 Argentina W
14 Jul 2026
World Cup France 0 - 2 Spain W
10 Jul 2026
World Cup Spain 2 - 1 Belgium W
06 Jul 2026
World Cup Portugal 0 - 1 Spain W
02 Jul 2026
World Cup Spain 3 - 0 Austria W
8 W0 D2 Lin the last 10
12 Nov 2026
UEFA Nations League England 2 - 1 Croatia W
06 Oct 2026
UEFA Nations League England 3 - 0 Czech Republic W
03 Oct 2026
UEFA Nations League Croatia 0 - 7 England W
29 Sep 2026
UEFA Nations League Czech Republic 0 - 2 England W
26 Sep 2026
UEFA Nations League England 2 - 3 Spain L
18 Jul 2026
World Cup France 4 - 6 England W
15 Jul 2026
World Cup England 1 - 2 Argentina L
11 Jul 2026
World Cup Norway 1 - 2 England W
06 Jul 2026
World Cup Mexico 2 - 3 England W
01 Jul 2026
World Cup England 2 - 1 Congo DR W

Who wins?

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
30% 18% 51%
Book lines
35% 35% 30%
Bookmaker
54% 23% 23%

Spain · Draw · England

Value spotted: England win at 4.10 (model 51% vs market 23%)

Most likely scores

2-2
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
6%
1-3
5.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
4.7%

Expected goals 2.15 Spain · 2.75 England

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals95%
Over 2.5 goals86%
Over 3.5 goals71%
Both teams score82%

Team comparison

56%
Form
44%
47%
Attack
53%
44%
Defence
56%
0%
Goal model
100%
75%
Head to head
25%
56%
Goals
44%
55%
Overall
44%

Season numbers

UEFA Nations League 2026

When the goals come

3
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
2
3
31-45'
5
1
46-60'
3
3
61-75'
3
3
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
2
1
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
0
SpainEngland
5Played5
5Won4
0Drawn0
0Lost1
2.8Goals scored per game3.2
1Goals conceded per game0.8
1Clean sheets3
0Failed to score0
5Longest winning run0
4-1Biggest win3-0
1/1Penalties scored1/2

What comes next

Spain
England (H)15 Nov
England
Spain (A)15 Nov

Green is a bottom-third opponent, grey is mid-table, red is a top-third opponent.

Betting markets

Bet365
Spain 1.75
57% implied
Draw 4.10
24% implied
England 4.10
24% implied
Spain 1.33
75% implied
England 3.25
31% implied
Over 0.5 1.03
97% implied
Under 0.5 15.00
7% implied
Over 1.5 1.18
85% implied
Under 1.5 4.50
22% implied
Over 2.5 1.60
63% implied
Under 2.5 2.30
43% implied
Over 3.5 2.50
40% implied
Under 3.5 1.50
67% implied
Over 4.5 4.33
23% implied
Under 4.5 1.20
83% implied
Spain/Draw 13.00
8% implied
Spain/England 29.00
3% implied · Our tip
Draw/England 9.50
11% implied
Draw/Draw 6.50
15% implied
Spain/Spain 2.62
38% implied
Draw/Spain 5.00
20% implied
England/Spain 19.00
5% implied
England/Draw 15.00
7% implied
England/England 7.00
14% implied
Yes 1.62
62% implied · Our tip
No 2.20
45% implied
1:1 8.00
13% implied
2:1 8.50
12% implied
1:0 9.50
11% implied
2:0 9.50
11% implied
3:1 13.00
8% implied
2:2 13.00
8% implied
1:2 13.00
8% implied
3:0 15.00
7% implied
Spain/Draw 1.22
82% implied
Spain/England 1.22
82% implied · Our tip
Draw/England 2.00
50% implied
Spain 2.25
44% implied
Draw 2.40
42% implied
England 4.50
22% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability is 100 divided by the odds and includes the bookmaker margin.

Spain vs England: preview and prediction

Spain host England in the World UEFA Nations League (League A - 6) on Sunday, 15th November 2026 at 20:45 at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid. Spain sit 1st in the table and England 2nd.

Spain are flying, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-W). England are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-W-W-W).

In the last 4 meetings, Spain won 3, England won 1 and 0 ended level. These games average 4 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.

Our goal model expects about 2.15 goals for Spain and 2.75 for England. It gives England the edge (30% home win, 18% draw, 51% away win), 86% for over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-2.

Verdict: our pick is Over 0.5 (+0.5) at odds of 1.27. We also like Over 1.5 (+1.5) at odds of 1.19, B T T S (BTTS) at odds of 1.58, Over 2.5 (+2.5) at odds of 1.65.

FAQs

What is the best prediction for Spain vs England?

Our top tip is Over 0.5 (+0.5) at odds of 1.27.

Who will win Spain vs England?

England are favourites: our model gives Spain 30%, the draw 18% and England 51%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 82% chance in our model, and it happened in 100% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 4.9 goals in total, with a 86% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Spain vs England?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 15th November 2026 at 20:45 at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid.

Who is the referee?

Clement Turpin is in charge of this game.

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