World: UEFA Nations League
Sun, 15th Nov, 2026 · 18:00 · League C - 6
Belarus
2nd in the table
Albania
1st in the table
Double chance : draw or Albania
Sun, 15th Nov, 2026 · 18:00 · League C - 6
2nd in the table
1st in the table
Double chance : draw or Albania
3games
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | +7 | 12 | WWLWW | |
| 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:2 | +5 | 10 | WWWDL | |
| 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:4 | +5 | 7 | LLWDW | |
| 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1:18 | -17 | 0 | LLLLL |
Belarus · Draw · Albania
Value spotted: Belarus win at 4.20 (model 50% vs market 22%)
Expected goals 1.75 Belarus · 1.2 Albania
Green is a bottom-third opponent, grey is mid-table, red is a top-third opponent.
Odds can change. Implied probability is 100 divided by the odds and includes the bookmaker margin.
Belarus host Albania in the World UEFA Nations League (League C - 6) on Sunday, 15th November 2026 at 18:00 at Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, Budapest. Belarus sit 2nd in the table and Albania 1st.
Belarus are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-D-W-W-W). Albania are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-L-W-W).
In the last 3 meetings, Belarus won 0, Albania won 3 and 0 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 33%.
Our goal model expects about 1.75 goals for Belarus and 1.2 for Albania. It gives Belarus the edge (50% home win, 24% draw, 26% away win), 57% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.
Verdict: our pick is X2 at odds of 1.23.
Our top tip is X2 at odds of 1.23.
Belarus are favourites: our model gives Belarus 50%, the draw 24% and Albania 26%.
Both teams scoring has a 58% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.
Our model expects 3 goals in total, with a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Kick-off is on Sunday, 15th November 2026 at 18:00 at Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, Budapest.
Igor Pajac is in charge of this game.