World: UEFA Nations League

Fri, 13th Nov, 2026 · 20:45 · League C - 5

Bulgaria

3rd in the table

DLDLW
FULL TIME 0 - 5 Half time 0 - 2

Iceland

1st in the table

LDWWD
45+4' Kristiyan Balov
55' Andrian Kraev
Andri Guðjohnsen 17' Penalty
Orri Steinn Óskarsson 21'
Hörður Magnússon 39'
Emil Tsenov 52' Own Goal
Hákon Arnar Haraldsson 66'
Andri Guðjohnsen 68'
Andri Guðjohnsen 79'
Prediction: X2 (1.20 odds) Won
83% confidence

Combo Double chance : draw or Iceland and -3.5 goals

Hristo Botev Stadium, Plovdiv Referee Florian Badstubner

Match odds

Bet365
Home 4.75 20% implied
Draw 3.60 26% implied
Away 1.73 54% implied

All our tips for this match

X2 x2 ✓ @ 1.20
Over 1.5 +1.5 ✓ @ 1.34
Over 1.5 Over 1.5 ✓ @ 1.34

Head to head

Last 1 meetings

1games

0Bulgaria wins
0Draws
1Iceland wins
3Goals per game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
03 Oct 2026
UEFA Nations League Iceland 3 - 0 Bulgaria

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Iceland 4220 7:1 +6 8 DWWD
2 Estonia 4130 2:1 +1 6 DWDD
3 Bulgaria 4112 3:5 -2 4 WLDL
4 Luxembourg 4103 2:7 -5 3 LLLW

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League
1 H. Kane
England 7
goals 1
assists 5
apps
2 M. Olise
France 5
goals 2
assists 5
apps
3 L. Walta
Finland 4
goals 1
assists 5
apps
4 Lamine Yamal
Spain 4
goals 1
assists 4
apps
5 V. Gyökeres
Sweden 4
goals 0
assists 4
apps
6 F. Esposito
Italy 4
goals 1
assists 5
apps
7 T. Parrott
Rep. Of Ireland 4
goals 0
assists 4
apps
8 O. Óskarsson
Iceland 3
goals 2
assists 4
apps
9 Mikel Merino
Spain 3
goals 1
assists 5
apps
10 R. Manaj
Albania 3
goals 1
assists 5
apps

Recent form

4 W2 D4 Lin the last 10
06 Oct 2026
UEFA Nations League Luxembourg 0 - 2 Bulgaria W
03 Oct 2026
UEFA Nations League Iceland 3 - 0 Bulgaria L
29 Sep 2026
UEFA Nations League Bulgaria 0 - 0 Estonia D
26 Sep 2026
UEFA Nations League Bulgaria 1 - 2 Luxembourg L
05 Jun 2026
Friendlies Moldova 2 - 2 Bulgaria D
01 Jun 2026
Friendlies Bulgaria 0 - 1 Montenegro L
30 Mar 2026
FIFA Series Indonesia 0 - 1 Bulgaria W
27 Mar 2026
FIFA Series Solomon Islands 2 - 10 Bulgaria W
18 Nov 2025
World Cup - Qualification Europe Bulgaria 2 - 1 Georgia W
15 Nov 2025
World Cup - Qualification Europe Türkiye 2 - 0 Bulgaria L
2 W4 D4 Lin the last 10
06 Oct 2026
UEFA Nations League Estonia 0 - 0 Iceland D
03 Oct 2026
UEFA Nations League Iceland 3 - 0 Bulgaria W
29 Sep 2026
UEFA Nations League Luxembourg 0 - 3 Iceland W
26 Sep 2026
UEFA Nations League Iceland 1 - 1 Estonia D
10 Jun 2026
Friendlies Argentina 3 - 0 Iceland L
31 May 2026
Friendlies Japan 1 - 0 Iceland L
31 Mar 2026
Friendlies Haiti 1 - 1 Iceland D
28 Mar 2026
Friendlies Canada 2 - 2 Iceland D
26 Feb 2026
Friendlies Mexico 4 - 0 Iceland L
16 Nov 2025
World Cup - Qualification Europe Ukraine 2 - 0 Iceland L

Who wins?

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
12% 30% 58%
Book lines
0% 50% 50%
Bookmaker
20% 26% 54%

Bulgaria · Draw · Iceland

Most likely scores

0-1
24%
0-0
19.2%
0-2
15%
1-1
9.6%
1-0
7.7%
0-3
6.3%

Expected goals 0.4 Bulgaria · 1.25 Iceland

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals49%
Over 2.5 goals23%
Over 3.5 goals9%
Both teams score24%

Team comparison

33%
Form
67%
30%
Attack
70%
17%
Defence
83%
0%
Goal model
100%
0%
Head to head
100%
0%
Goals
100%
26%
Overall
73%

Season numbers

UEFA Nations League 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
3
0
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
0
BulgariaIceland
4Played4
1Won2
1Drawn2
2Lost0
0.8Goals scored per game1.8
1.3Goals conceded per game0.3
2Clean sheets3
2Failed to score1
0Longest winning run2
0-2Biggest win3-0
0/0Penalties scored0/1

This match

52%
Ball Possession
48%
9
Total Shots
16
2
Shots on Goal
7
4
Corner Kicks
1
11
Fouls
12

Lineups

Bulgaria 4-2-3-1
  1. 1 D. Naumov
  2. 22 Y. Stoyanov
  3. 13 S. Velkov
  4. 3 E. Tsenov
  5. 6 H. Petrov
  6. 8 A. Kraev
  7. 4 I. Gruev
  8. 20 L. Petkov
  9. 11 G. Rusev
  10. 7 K. Balov
  11. 9 A. Iliev
Iceland 4-4-2
  1. 12 H. Valdimarsson
  2. 4 V. Pálsson
  3. 16 S. Þórðarson
  4. 3 D. Grétarsson
  5. 2 L. Tómasson
  6. 19 M. Ellertsson
  7. 7 H. Haraldsson
  8. 8 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
  9. 15 K. Ingason
  10. 22 A. Guðjohnsen
  11. 9 O. Óskarsson

What comes next

Bulgaria
Iceland (H)13 Nov
Estonia (A)16 Nov
Iceland
Bulgaria (A)13 Nov
Luxembourg (H)16 Nov

Green is a bottom-third opponent, grey is mid-table, red is a top-third opponent.

Betting markets

Bet365
Bulgaria 4.75
21% implied
Draw 3.60
28% implied
Iceland 1.73
58% implied
Bulgaria 3.40
29% implied
Iceland 1.30
77% implied
Over 0.5 1.06
94% implied
Under 0.5 8.00
13% implied
Over 1.5 1.30
77% implied · Our tip
Under 1.5 3.40
29% implied
Over 2.5 2.00
50% implied
Under 2.5 1.80
56% implied
Over 3.5 3.50
29% implied
Under 3.5 1.28
78% implied
Over 4.5 6.50
15% implied
Under 4.5 1.10
91% implied
Bulgaria/Draw 17.00
6% implied
Bulgaria/Iceland 26.00
4% implied
Draw/Iceland 4.50
22% implied · Our tip
Draw/Draw 5.00
20% implied
Bulgaria/Bulgaria 7.50
13% implied
Draw/Bulgaria 9.50
11% implied
Iceland/Bulgaria 41.00
2% implied
Iceland/Draw 17.00
6% implied
Iceland/Iceland 2.75
36% implied
Yes 1.91
52% implied
No 1.80
56% implied
0:1 6.50
15% implied
1:1 7.00
14% implied
0:2 8.00
13% implied
0:0 9.00
11% implied
1:2 9.00
11% implied
1:0 12.00
8% implied
0:3 13.00
8% implied
1:3 15.00
7% implied
Bulgaria/Draw 2.10
48% implied
Bulgaria/Iceland 1.28
78% implied
Draw/Iceland 1.14
88% implied · Our tip
Bulgaria 5.00
20% implied
Draw 2.10
48% implied
Iceland 2.25
44% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability is 100 divided by the odds and includes the bookmaker margin.

Bulgaria vs Iceland: preview and prediction

Bulgaria host Iceland in the World UEFA Nations League (League C - 5) on Friday, 13th November 2026 at 20:45 at Hristo Botev Stadium, Plovdiv. Bulgaria sit 3rd in the table and Iceland 1st.

Bulgaria have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-D-L-W). Iceland have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-D-W-W-D).

In the last 1 meetings, Bulgaria won 0, Iceland won 1 and 0 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.

Our goal model expects about 0.4 goals for Bulgaria and 1.25 for Iceland. It gives Iceland the edge (12% home win, 30% draw, 58% away win), 23% for over 2.5 goals and 24% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-1.

Our pick was X2 at odds of 1.20. We also like Over 1.5 (+1.5) at odds of 1.34, Over 1.5 at odds of 1.34.

FAQs

What is the best prediction for Bulgaria vs Iceland?

Our top tip is X2 at odds of 1.20.

Who will win Bulgaria vs Iceland?

Iceland are favourites: our model gives Bulgaria 12%, the draw 30% and Iceland 58%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 24% chance in our model, and it happened in 0% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 1.7 goals in total, with a 23% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Bulgaria vs Iceland?

Kick-off is on Friday, 13th November 2026 at 20:45 at Hristo Botev Stadium, Plovdiv.

Who is the referee?

Florian Badstubner is in charge of this game.

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