World: UEFA Nations League
Fri, 13th Nov, 2026 · 20:45 · League D - 5
Liechtenstein
3rd in the table
Azerbaijan
1st in the table
Combo Winner : Azerbaijan and -3.5 goals
Fri, 13th Nov, 2026 · 20:45 · League D - 5
3rd in the table
1st in the table
Combo Winner : Azerbaijan and -3.5 goals
1games
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 | WDD | |
| 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 | LDW | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 | DL |
Liechtenstein · Draw · Azerbaijan
Value spotted: Liechtenstein win at 11.00 (model 35% vs market 8%) · Draw at 5.00 (model 25% vs market 19%)
Expected goals 1.4 Liechtenstein · 1.5 Azerbaijan
Green is a bottom-third opponent, grey is mid-table, red is a top-third opponent.
Odds can change. Implied probability is 100 divided by the odds and includes the bookmaker margin.
Liechtenstein host Azerbaijan in the World UEFA Nations League (League D - 5) on Friday, 13th November 2026 at 20:45 at Rheinpark Stadion, Vaduz. Liechtenstein sit 3rd in the table and Azerbaijan 1st.
Liechtenstein are struggling, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-D-L). Azerbaijan are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-D-D-W).
In the last 1 meetings, Liechtenstein won 0, Azerbaijan won 0 and 1 ended level. These games average 0 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% and over 2.5 goals in 0%.
Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Liechtenstein and 1.5 for Azerbaijan. It gives Azerbaijan the edge (35% home win, 25% draw, 40% away win), 55% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.
Verdict: our pick is Away (2) at odds of 1.30.
Our top tip is Away (2) at odds of 1.30.
Azerbaijan are favourites: our model gives Liechtenstein 35%, the draw 25% and Azerbaijan 40%.
Both teams scoring has a 59% chance in our model, and it happened in 0% of recent meetings.
Our model expects 2.9 goals in total, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Kick-off is on Friday, 13th November 2026 at 20:45 at Rheinpark Stadion, Vaduz.
Kristo Tohver is in charge of this game.