World: UEFA Nations League
Thu, 12th Nov, 2026 · 20:45 · League A - 5
Czech Republic
4th in the table
Spain
1st in the table
Combo Winner : Spain and +1.5 goals
Thu, 12th Nov, 2026 · 20:45 · League A - 5
4th in the table
1st in the table
Combo Winner : Spain and +1.5 goals
4games
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:5 | +7 | 12 | WWWW | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:3 | +11 | 9 | WWWL | |
| 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 | LLLW | |
| 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:10 | -8 | 0 | LLLL |
Czech Republic · Draw · Spain
Value spotted: Czech Republic win at 13.00 (model 15% vs market 7%) · Draw at 8.00 (model 19% vs market 12%)
Expected goals 1 Czech Republic · 2.25 Spain
Green is a bottom-third opponent, grey is mid-table, red is a top-third opponent.
Odds can change. Implied probability is 100 divided by the odds and includes the bookmaker margin.
Czech Republic host Spain in the World UEFA Nations League (League A - 5) on Thursday, 12th November 2026 at 20:45 at Stadion Letná, Prague. Czech Republic sit 4th in the table and Spain 1st.
Czech Republic are struggling, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-L-L). Spain are flying, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-W).
In the last 4 meetings, Czech Republic won 0, Spain won 3 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.
Our goal model expects about 1 goals for Czech Republic and 2.25 for Spain. It gives Spain the edge (15% home win, 19% draw, 65% away win), 63% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-2.
Verdict: our pick is Away (2) at odds of 1.25. We also like Over 2.5 (+2.5) at odds of 1.47, Over 2.5 at odds of 1.47.
Our top tip is Away (2) at odds of 1.25.
Spain are favourites: our model gives Czech Republic 15%, the draw 19% and Spain 65%.
Both teams scoring has a 56% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.
Our model expects 3.3 goals in total, with a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Kick-off is on Thursday, 12th November 2026 at 20:45 at Stadion Letná, Prague.
Nikola Dabanovic is in charge of this game.