World: UEFA Nations League
Thu, 12th Nov, 2026 · 18:00 · League A - 5
Türkiye
4th in the table
Belgium
3rd in the table
Winner : Belgium
Thu, 12th Nov, 2026 · 18:00 · League A - 5
4th in the table
3rd in the table
Winner : Belgium
1games
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 10 | WDWW | |
| 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 7 | WDWL | |
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | +1 | 6 | LWLW | |
| 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 0 | LLLL |
Türkiye · Draw · Belgium
Expected goals 1.25 Türkiye · 2 Belgium
Green is a bottom-third opponent, grey is mid-table, red is a top-third opponent.
Odds can change. Implied probability is 100 divided by the odds and includes the bookmaker margin.
Türkiye host Belgium in the World UEFA Nations League (League A - 5) on Thursday, 12th November 2026 at 18:00 at Gürsel Aksel Stadium, Izmir. Türkiye sit 4th in the table and Belgium 3rd.
Türkiye are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-L-L). Belgium are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-W-L).
In the last 1 meetings, Türkiye won 0, Belgium won 1 and 0 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.
Our goal model expects about 1.25 goals for Türkiye and 2 for Belgium. It gives Belgium the edge (24% home win, 22% draw, 55% away win), 63% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.
Verdict: our pick is X2 at odds of 1.27. We also like Over 0.5 (+0.5) at odds of 1.25.
Our top tip is X2 at odds of 1.27.
Belgium are favourites: our model gives Türkiye 24%, the draw 22% and Belgium 55%.
Both teams scoring has a 62% chance in our model, and it happened in 0% of recent meetings.
Our model expects 3.3 goals in total, with a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Kick-off is on Thursday, 12th November 2026 at 18:00 at Gürsel Aksel Stadium, Izmir.
Sandro Schärer is in charge of this game.