World: SAFF Championship

Wed, 11th Nov, 2026 · 10:30 · Group Stage - 2

India

2nd in the table

DDLLW
KICK OFF 10:30

Maldives

3rd in the table

DLLLL
Prediction: Over 2.5 (1.43 odds)
70% confidence

Combo Winner : India and +1.5 goals

Bangabandhu National Stadium, Dhaka

Match odds

Bet365
Home 1.14 80% implied
Draw 7.00 13% implied
Away 12.00 8% implied

All our tips for this match

Over 2.5 Over 2.5 @ 1.43
Over 2.5 +2.5 @ 1.43

Head to head

Last 6 meetings

6games

5India wins
0Draws
1Maldives wins
3Goals per game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
19 Mar 2025
Friendlies India 3 - 0 Maldives
13 Oct 2021
SAFF Championship India 3 - 1 Maldives
15 Sep 2018
SAFF Championship Maldives 2 - 1 India
09 Sep 2018
SAFF Championship India 2 - 0 Maldives
31 Dec 2015
SAFF Championship India 3 - 2 Maldives
09 Sep 2013
SAFF Championship Maldives 0 - 1 India

SAFF Championship table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Pakistan 2101 5:3 +2 3 WL
2 India 1100 3:2 +1 3 W
3 Maldives 1001 0:3 -3 0 L

Recent form

2 W2 D5 Lin the last 9
05 Nov 2026
SAFF Championship Pakistan 2 - 3 India W
06 Oct 2026
Friendlies India 1 - 6 Uruguay L
03 Oct 2026
Friendlies India 0 - 4 Brazil L
25 Sep 2026
Friendlies India 1 - 1 Panama D
09 Jun 2026
Friendlies Tajikistan 1 - 1 India D
05 Jun 2026
Friendlies Tajikistan 3 - 1 India L
30 May 2026
Friendlies India 0 - 1 Zimbabwe L
27 May 2026
Friendlies Jamaica 2 - 0 India L
31 Mar 2026
Asian Cup - Qualification India 2 - 1 Hong Kong W
1 W1 D8 Lin the last 10
08 Nov 2026
SAFF Championship Maldives 0 - 3 Pakistan L
01 Oct 2026
Friendlies Maldives 0 - 6 Lebanon L
28 Sep 2026
Friendlies Kyrgyzstan 5 - 0 Maldives L
24 Sep 2026
Friendlies China 3 - 0 Maldives L
07 Jun 2026
Friendlies Maldives 1 - 1 Bangladesh U23 D
04 Jun 2026
Friendlies Maldives 0 - 3 Pakistan L
01 Jun 2026
Friendlies Maldives 0 - 1 Afghanistan L
31 Mar 2026
Asian Cup - Qualification Maldives 2 - 1 Timor-Leste W
18 Nov 2025
Asian Cup - Qualification Maldives 0 - 2 Philippines L
14 Oct 2025
Asian Cup - Qualification Maldives 0 - 3 Tajikistan L

Who wins?

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
74% 14% 11%
Book lines
50% 50% 0%
Bookmaker
80% 13% 8%

India · Draw · Maldives

Most likely scores

2-1
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.2%
4-0
5.6%

Expected goals 3 India · 1.1 Maldives

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals76%
Over 3.5 goals57%
Both teams score63%

Team comparison

100%
Form
0%
100%
Attack
0%
60%
Defence
40%
0%
Goal model
0%
80%
Head to head
20%
71%
Goals
29%
70%
Overall
29%

Season numbers

SAFF Championship 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
2
0
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
0
IndiaMaldives
1Played1
1Won0
0Drawn0
0Lost1
3Goals scored per game0
2Goals conceded per game3
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score1
1Longest winning run0
2-3Biggest win-
0/0Penalties scored0/0

What comes next

India
Maldives (H)11 Nov
New Zealand (A)12 Nov
New Zealand (A)15 Nov
Maldives
India (A)11 Nov

Green is a bottom-third opponent, grey is mid-table, red is a top-third opponent.

Betting markets

Bet365
India 1.14
88% implied
Draw 7.00
14% implied
Maldives 12.00
8% implied
India 1.05
95% implied
Maldives 8.50
12% implied
Over 0.5 1.03
97% implied
Under 0.5 10.00
10% implied
Over 1.5 1.20
83% implied
Under 1.5 4.33
23% implied
Over 2.5 1.67
60% implied · Our tip
Under 2.5 2.15
47% implied
Over 3.5 2.62
38% implied
Under 3.5 1.44
69% implied
Over 4.5 4.50
22% implied
Under 4.5 1.17
85% implied
India/Draw 23.00
4% implied
India/Maldives 51.00
2% implied
Draw/Maldives 21.00
5% implied
Draw/Draw 10.00
10% implied
India/India 1.62
62% implied
Draw/India 4.00
25% implied
Maldives/India 19.00
5% implied
Maldives/Draw 26.00
4% implied
Maldives/Maldives 21.00
5% implied
Yes 2.62
38% implied
No 1.44
69% implied
2:0 5.50
18% implied
1:0 6.50
15% implied
3:0 6.50
15% implied
4:0 10.00
10% implied
2:1 11.00
9% implied
3:1 13.00
8% implied
0:0 13.00
8% implied
1:1 13.00
8% implied
India/Draw 1.01
99% implied
India/Maldives 1.10
91% implied
Draw/Maldives 4.50
22% implied
India 1.50
67% implied
Draw 2.88
35% implied
Maldives 11.00
9% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability is 100 divided by the odds and includes the bookmaker margin.

India vs Maldives: preview and prediction

India host Maldives in the World SAFF Championship (Group Stage - 2) on Wednesday, 11th November 2026 at 10:30 at Bangabandhu National Stadium, Dhaka. India sit 2nd in the table and Maldives 3rd.

India have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-L-L-W). Maldives are struggling, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-L-L).

In the last 6 meetings, India won 5, Maldives won 1 and 0 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 3 goals for India and 1.1 for Maldives. It gives India the edge (74% home win, 14% draw, 11% away win), 76% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-1.

Verdict: our pick is Over 2.5 at odds of 1.43. We also like Over 2.5 (+2.5) at odds of 1.43.

FAQs

What is the best prediction for India vs Maldives?

Our top tip is Over 2.5 at odds of 1.43.

Who will win India vs Maldives?

India are favourites: our model gives India 74%, the draw 14% and Maldives 11%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 63% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 4.1 goals in total, with a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is India vs Maldives?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 11th November 2026 at 10:30 at Bangabandhu National Stadium, Dhaka.

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