England: FA Trophy
Sat, 14th Nov, 2026 · 16:00 · Round of 128
Bourne Town
Bromsgrove Sporting
Combo Winner : Bourne Town and -3.5 goals
Sat, 14th Nov, 2026 · 16:00 · Round of 128
Combo Winner : Bourne Town and -3.5 goals
Bourne Town · Draw · Bromsgrove Sporting
Value spotted: Bourne Town win at 5.75 (model 60% vs market 16%) · Draw at 6.00 (model 21% vs market 15%)
Expected goals 2 Bourne Town · 1 Bromsgrove Sporting
Green is a bottom-third opponent, grey is mid-table, red is a top-third opponent.
Odds can change. Implied probability is 100 divided by the odds and includes the bookmaker margin.
Bourne Town host Bromsgrove Sporting in the England FA Trophy (Round of 128) on Saturday, 14th November 2026 at 16:00.
Bourne Town are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-W-L). Bromsgrove Sporting are flying, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-W-W-W).
Our goal model expects about 2 goals for Bourne Town and 1 for Bromsgrove Sporting. It gives Bourne Town the edge (60% home win, 21% draw, 18% away win), 58% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.
Our pick was Away (2) at odds of 1.28.
Our top tip is Away (2) at odds of 1.28.
Bourne Town are favourites: our model gives Bourne Town 60%, the draw 21% and Bromsgrove Sporting 18%.
Both teams scoring has a 55% chance in our model.
Our model expects 3 goals in total, with a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Kick-off is on Saturday, 14th November 2026 at 16:00.