Spain: Copa del Rey
Thu, 12th Nov, 2026 · 19:00 · Round of 128
Navalcarnero
Real Betis
No predictions available
Thu, 12th Nov, 2026 · 19:00 · Round of 128
No predictions available
Navalcarnero · Draw · Real Betis
Value spotted: Navalcarnero win at 19.00 (model 44% vs market 5%) · Draw at 11.00 (model 27% vs market 9%)
Expected goals 1.4 Navalcarnero · 1.1 Real Betis
Green is a bottom-third opponent, grey is mid-table, red is a top-third opponent.
Odds can change. Implied probability is 100 divided by the odds and includes the bookmaker margin.
Navalcarnero host Real Betis in the Spain Copa del Rey (Round of 128) on Thursday, 12th November 2026 at 19:00 at Santo Domingo, Alcorcon.
Navalcarnero have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-W-D-L). Real Betis are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-L-W-W).
Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Navalcarnero and 1.1 for Real Betis. It gives Navalcarnero the edge (44% home win, 27% draw, 30% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.
Our pick was Over 2.5 at odds of 1.28.
Our top tip is Over 2.5 at odds of 1.28.
Navalcarnero are favourites: our model gives Navalcarnero 44%, the draw 27% and Real Betis 30%.
Both teams scoring has a 50% chance in our model.
Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Kick-off is on Thursday, 12th November 2026 at 19:00 at Santo Domingo, Alcorcon.