Armenia: Cup
Tue, 27th Oct, 2026 · 16:00 · Round of 16
Pyunik Yerevan
Ararat
Double chance : Pyunik Yerevan or draw
Tue, 27th Oct, 2026 · 16:00 · Round of 16
Double chance : Pyunik Yerevan or draw
10games
Pyunik Yerevan · Draw · Ararat
Value spotted: Draw at 4.50 (model 27% vs market 20%) · Ararat win at 8.50 (model 30% vs market 11%)
Expected goals 1.4 Pyunik Yerevan · 1.1 Ararat
Green is a bottom-third opponent, grey is mid-table, red is a top-third opponent.
Odds can change. Implied probability is 100 divided by the odds and includes the bookmaker margin.
Pyunik Yerevan host Ararat in the Armenia Cup (Round of 16) on Tuesday, 27th October 2026 at 16:00.
Pyunik Yerevan are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-W-D-W). Ararat have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-D-D-L).
In the last 10 meetings, Pyunik Yerevan won 8, Ararat won 1 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 30% and over 2.5 goals in 40%.
Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Pyunik Yerevan and 1.1 for Ararat. It gives Pyunik Yerevan the edge (44% home win, 27% draw, 30% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.
Our pick was Home (1) at odds of 1.30.
Our top tip is Home (1) at odds of 1.30.
Pyunik Yerevan are favourites: our model gives Pyunik Yerevan 44%, the draw 27% and Ararat 30%.
Both teams scoring has a 50% chance in our model, and it happened in 30% of recent meetings.
Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Kick-off is on Tuesday, 27th October 2026 at 16:00.