World: UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification
Thu, 12th Nov, 2026 · 16:00 · Group Stage
Portugal U19
Lithuania U19
1st in the table
Combo Double chance : draw or Lithuania U19 and -3.5 goals
Thu, 12th Nov, 2026 · 16:00 · Group Stage
1st in the table
Combo Double chance : draw or Lithuania U19 and -3.5 goals
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 4 | DW | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 4 | DW | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 | LL |
Portugal U19 · Draw · Lithuania U19
Value spotted: Draw at 12.00 (model 16% vs market 8%) · Lithuania U19 win at 34.00 (model 77% vs market 3%)
Expected goals 0.5 Portugal U19 · 2.25 Lithuania U19
Green is a bottom-third opponent, grey is mid-table, red is a top-third opponent.
Odds can change. Implied probability is 100 divided by the odds and includes the bookmaker margin.
Portugal U19 host Lithuania U19 in the World UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification (Group Stage) on Thursday, 12th November 2026 at 16:00 at Arouca.
Portugal U19 are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-W-D-W). Lithuania U19 are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-L-L-L).
Our goal model expects about 0.5 goals for Portugal U19 and 2.25 for Lithuania U19. It gives Lithuania U19 the edge (7% home win, 16% draw, 77% away win), 52% for over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-2.
Verdict: our pick is Over 2.5 at odds of 1.21. We also like Over 2.5 (+2.5) at odds of 1.21, Over 3.5 (+3.5) at odds of 1.62.
Our top tip is Over 2.5 at odds of 1.21.
Lithuania U19 are favourites: our model gives Portugal U19 7%, the draw 16% and Lithuania U19 77%.
Both teams scoring has a 35% chance in our model.
Our model expects 2.8 goals in total, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Kick-off is on Thursday, 12th November 2026 at 16:00 at Arouca.
B. Csonka is in charge of this game.