Portugal: Taça da Liga
Wed, 28th Oct, 2026 · 21:30 · Quarter-finals
FC Porto
Academico Viseu
Double chance : FC Porto or draw
Wed, 28th Oct, 2026 · 21:30 · Quarter-finals
Double chance : FC Porto or draw
6games
FC Porto · Draw · Academico Viseu
Value spotted: Draw at 5.00 (model 27% vs market 19%) · Academico Viseu win at 8.50 (model 30% vs market 11%)
Expected goals 1.4 FC Porto · 1.1 Academico Viseu
Green is a bottom-third opponent, grey is mid-table, red is a top-third opponent.
Odds can change. Implied probability is 100 divided by the odds and includes the bookmaker margin.
FC Porto host Academico Viseu in the Portugal Taça da Liga (Quarter-finals) on Wednesday, 28th October 2026 at 21:30 at Porto.
FC Porto are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-L-L-W). Academico Viseu are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-W-L-W).
In the last 6 meetings, FC Porto won 5, Academico Viseu won 0 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.
Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for FC Porto and 1.1 for Academico Viseu. It gives FC Porto the edge (44% home win, 27% draw, 30% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.
Verdict: our pick is Home (1) at odds of 1.43. We also like Over 1.5 (+1.5) at odds of 1.20, Over 0.5 (+0.5) at odds of 1.30.
Our top tip is Home (1) at odds of 1.43.
FC Porto are favourites: our model gives FC Porto 44%, the draw 27% and Academico Viseu 30%.
Both teams scoring has a 50% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.
Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Kick-off is on Wednesday, 28th October 2026 at 21:30 at Porto.