Portugal: Primeira Liga

Sun, 8th Nov, 2026 · 21:30 · Regular Season - 11

Estrela

12th in the table

LLWLL
KICK OFF 21:30

Benfica

2nd in the table

WWWWW
Prediction: Away (1.23 odds)
81% confidence

Winner : Benfica

Estadio Jose Gomes, Amadora Referee Antonio Nobre

Match odds

Bet365
Home 15.00 6% implied
Draw 7.50 12% implied
Away 1.14 81% implied

All our tips for this match

Away 2 @ 1.23
Over 2.5 +2.5 @ 1.41

Head to head

Last 9 meetings

9games

0Estrela wins
0Draws
9Benfica wins
3.8Goals per game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
25 Jan 2026
Primeira Liga Benfica 4 - 0 Estrela
16 Aug 2025
Primeira Liga Estrela 0 - 1 Benfica
02 Feb 2025
Primeira Liga Estrela 2 - 3 Benfica
23 Nov 2024
Taça de Portugal Benfica 7 - 0 Estrela
24 Aug 2024
Primeira Liga Benfica 1 - 0 Estrela
29 Jan 2024
Primeira Liga Estrela 1 - 4 Benfica
19 Aug 2023
Primeira Liga Benfica 2 - 0 Estrela
20 Nov 2022
Taça da Liga Estrela 2 - 3 Benfica
12 Jan 2021
Taça de Portugal Estrela 0 - 4 Benfica

Primeira Liga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 FC Porto 101000 25:4 +21 30 WWWWW
2 Benfica 10811 27:8 +19 25 WWWLW
3 Sporting CP 10631 23:11 +12 21 WLWDD
4 Santa Clara 10631 15:6 +9 21 WLWDW
5 Arouca 11623 13:8 +5 20 LWWWD
6 Academico Viseu 10622 15:12 +3 20 WWWWW
7 GIL Vicente 10433 8:7 +1 15 DLWWD
8 SC Braga 10424 12:11 +1 14 WLLLD
9 Moreirense 10424 13:17 -4 14 WWLDW
10 Famalicao 11344 15:14 +1 13 WLWLW
11 Alverca 10325 13:14 -1 11 LLWWW
12 Estrela 10244 15:19 -4 10 LLLLD
13 Vitória SC 10235 10:10 0 9 DWLDL
14 Maritimo 10226 9:21 -12 8 LLLDL
15 Nacional 10217 10:19 -9 7 LWLLL
16 Rio Ave 10217 9:23 -14 7 LLWLD
17 Casa Pia 10217 5:19 -14 7 LWLWL
18 Estoril 10028 5:19 -14 2 LLLLL

Top scorers

Primeira Liga
1 V. Pavlidis
Benfica 10
goals 3
assists 10
apps
2 L. Suárez
Sporting CP 8
goals 1
assists 10
apps
3 G. Prestianni
Benfica 6
goals 4
assists 10
apps
4 Borja Sainz
FC Porto 5
goals 1
assists 10
apps
5 Pau Victor
SC Braga 5
goals 1
assists 10
apps
6 André Clóvis
Academico Viseu 5
goals 1
assists 10
apps
7 Barbero
Arouca 5
goals 0
assists 11
apps
8 Gabri Veiga
FC Porto 5
goals 4
assists 10
apps
9 Gonçalo Paciência
Santa Clara 5
goals 1
assists 8
apps
10 G. Koutsias
Famalicao 5
goals 0
assists 11
apps

Recent form

3 W3 D4 Lin the last 10
31 Oct 2026
Primeira Liga Moreirense 2 - 1 Estrela L
24 Oct 2026
Primeira Liga Estrela 0 - 2 Casa Pia L
17 Oct 2026
Taça de Portugal Fazendense 1 - 2 Estrela W
11 Oct 2026
Primeira Liga Arouca 1 - 0 Estrela L
20 Sep 2026
Primeira Liga Estrela 0 - 2 Academico Viseu L
14 Sep 2026
Primeira Liga Rio Ave 3 - 3 Estrela D
10 Sep 2026
Primeira Liga Estrela 2 - 1 SC Braga W
05 Sep 2026
Primeira Liga Estrela 2 - 2 Famalicao D
30 Aug 2026
Primeira Liga Nacional 2 - 3 Estrela W
15 Aug 2026
Primeira Liga Alverca 2 - 2 Estrela D
9 W0 D1 Lin the last 10
05 Nov 2026
UEFA Europa League Benfica 3 - 1 Lech Poznan W
02 Nov 2026
Primeira Liga Benfica 1 - 0 Alverca W
29 Oct 2026
Taça da Liga Benfica 4 - 1 GIL Vicente W
26 Oct 2026
Primeira Liga Santa Clara 1 - 2 Benfica W
22 Oct 2026
UEFA Europa League Omonia Nicosia 1 - 4 Benfica W
15 Oct 2026
UEFA Europa League Benfica 4 - 1 Celtic W
11 Oct 2026
Primeira Liga Benfica 2 - 0 Vitória SC W
20 Sep 2026
Primeira Liga FC Porto 3 - 1 Benfica L
16 Sep 2026
UEFA Europa League AC Milan 0 - 2 Benfica W
13 Sep 2026
Primeira Liga Benfica 3 - 1 GIL Vicente W

Who wins?

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
12% 16% 71%
Book lines
0% 50% 50%
Bookmaker
6% 12% 81%

Estrela · Draw · Benfica

Value spotted: Estrela win at 15.00 (model 12% vs market 6%)

Most likely scores

0-2
9.2%
1-2
9.2%
0-3
8%
1-3
8%
0-1
7.1%
1-1
7.1%

Expected goals 1 Estrela · 2.6 Benfica

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Over 3.5 goals48%
Both teams score58%

Team comparison

8%
Form
92%
31%
Attack
69%
33%
Defence
67%
14%
Goal model
86%
0%
Head to head
100%
11%
Goals
89%
19%
Overall
80%

Season numbers

Primeira Liga 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
4
1
16-30'
2
2
31-45'
2
5
46-60'
9
5
61-75'
6
1
76-90'
3
5
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
2
5
46-60'
4
2
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
1
EstrelaBenfica
10Played10
2Won8
4Drawn1
4Lost1
1.5Goals scored per game2.7
1.9Goals conceded per game0.8
0Clean sheets5
3Failed to score0
1Longest winning run5
2-1Biggest win3-1
1/2Penalties scored3/3

What comes next

Estrela
Benfica (H)08 Nov
Portimonense (H)22 Nov
Vitória SC (A)28 Nov
GIL Vicente (H)06 Dec
FC Porto (A)13 Dec
Benfica
Estrela (A)08 Nov
Torreense (A)22 Nov
Plzen (A)26 Nov
Famalicao (H)30 Nov
Nacional (A)06 Dec

Green is a bottom-third opponent, grey is mid-table, red is a top-third opponent.

Betting markets

Bet365
Estrela 15.00
7% implied
Draw 7.50
13% implied
Benfica 1.14
88% implied · Our tip
Estrela 9.00
11% implied
Benfica 1.07
93% implied · Our tip
Over 0.5 1.01
99% implied
Under 0.5 21.00
5% implied
Over 1.5 1.12
89% implied
Under 1.5 6.00
17% implied
Over 2.5 1.44
69% implied
Under 2.5 2.70
37% implied
Over 3.5 2.00
50% implied
Under 3.5 1.73
58% implied
Over 4.5 3.40
29% implied
Under 4.5 1.30
77% implied
Estrela/Draw 21.00
5% implied
Estrela/Benfica 17.00
6% implied
Draw/Benfica 4.00
25% implied
Draw/Draw 9.50
11% implied
Estrela/Estrela 19.00
5% implied
Draw/Estrela 21.00
5% implied
Benfica/Estrela 51.00
2% implied
Benfica/Draw 19.00
5% implied
Benfica/Benfica 1.73
58% implied
Yes 1.80
56% implied
No 1.95
51% implied
0:2 7.50
13% implied
0:3 8.50
12% implied
1:2 9.00
11% implied
0:1 9.50
11% implied
1:3 10.00
10% implied
1:1 11.00
9% implied
0:4 12.00
8% implied
1:4 15.00
7% implied
Estrela/Draw 3.75
27% implied
Estrela/Benfica 1.14
88% implied
Draw/Benfica 1.06
94% implied
Estrela 9.00
11% implied
Draw 2.88
35% implied
Benfica 1.62
62% implied · Our tip

Odds can change. Implied probability is 100 divided by the odds and includes the bookmaker margin.

Estrela vs Benfica: preview and prediction

Estrela host Benfica in the Portugal Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 11) on Sunday, 8th November 2026 at 21:30 at Estadio Jose Gomes, Amadora. Estrela sit 12th in the table and Benfica 2nd.

Estrela are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-L-L). Benfica are flying, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Estrela won 0, Benfica won 9 and 0 ended level. These games average 3.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 1 goals for Estrela and 2.6 for Benfica. It gives Benfica the edge (12% home win, 16% draw, 71% away win), 69% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-2.

Verdict: our pick is Away (2) at odds of 1.23. We also like Over 2.5 (+2.5) at odds of 1.41.

FAQs

What is the best prediction for Estrela vs Benfica?

Our top tip is Away (2) at odds of 1.23.

Who will win Estrela vs Benfica?

Benfica are favourites: our model gives Estrela 12%, the draw 16% and Benfica 71%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 58% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.6 goals in total, with a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Estrela vs Benfica?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 8th November 2026 at 21:30 at Estadio Jose Gomes, Amadora.

Who is the referee?

Antonio Nobre is in charge of this game.

More Primeira Liga predictions

19:00
Vitória SC
FC Porto 12
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