Portugal: Primeira Liga

Mon, 2nd Nov, 2026 · 21:15 · Regular Season - 10

Benfica

2nd in the table

WWWWW
KICK OFF 21:15

Alverca

9th in the table

WWWLL
Prediction: Home (1.16 odds)
86% confidence

Double chance : Benfica or draw

Estádio da Luz, Lisbon Referee Bruno Pires Costa

Match odds

Bet365
Home 1.18 80% implied
Draw 7.50 13% implied
Away 12.00 8% implied

All our tips for this match

Home 1 @ 1.16

Head to head

Last 2 meetings

2games

2Benfica wins
0Draws
0Alverca wins
3Goals per game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
08 Feb 2026
Primeira Liga Benfica 2 - 1 Alverca
31 Aug 2025
Primeira Liga Alverca 1 - 2 Benfica

Primeira Liga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 FC Porto 101000 25:4 +21 30 WWWWW
2 Benfica 9711 26:8 +18 22 WWLWW
3 Sporting CP 10631 23:11 +12 21 WLWDD
4 Santa Clara 10631 15:6 +9 21 WLWDW
5 Arouca 10622 13:7 +6 20 WWWDL
6 Academico Viseu 10622 15:12 +3 20 WWWWW
7 GIL Vicente 9423 8:7 +1 14 LWWDL
8 Moreirense 10424 13:17 -4 14 WWLDW
9 Alverca 9324 13:13 0 11 LWWWL
10 SC Braga 9324 9:11 -2 11 LLLDW
11 Famalicao 9243 14:11 +3 10 WLWDD
12 Estrela 10244 15:19 -4 10 LLLLD
13 Vitória SC 9225 10:10 0 8 WLDLD
14 Maritimo 10226 9:21 -12 8 LLLDL
15 Nacional 10217 10:19 -9 7 LWLLL
16 Rio Ave 10217 9:23 -14 7 LLWLD
17 Casa Pia 10217 5:19 -14 7 LWLWL
18 Estoril 10028 5:19 -14 2 LLLLL

Top scorers

Primeira Liga
1 V. Pavlidis
Benfica 9
goals 3
assists 9
apps
2 L. Suárez
Sporting CP 8
goals 1
assists 10
apps
3 G. Prestianni
Benfica 6
goals 4
assists 9
apps
4 Borja Sainz
FC Porto 5
goals 1
assists 10
apps
5 Barbero
Arouca 5
goals 0
assists 9
apps
6 Gabri Veiga
FC Porto 5
goals 4
assists 10
apps
7 Gonçalo Paciência
Santa Clara 5
goals 1
assists 8
apps
8 G. Koutsias
Famalicao 5
goals 0
assists 9
apps
9 A. Marcus
Estrela 4
goals 1
assists 10
apps
10 L. Antonetti
Estrela 4
goals 1
assists 10
apps

Recent form

9 W0 D1 Lin the last 10
29 Oct 2026
Taça da Liga Benfica 4 - 1 GIL Vicente W
26 Oct 2026
Primeira Liga Santa Clara 1 - 2 Benfica W
22 Oct 2026
UEFA Europa League Omonia Nicosia 1 - 4 Benfica W
15 Oct 2026
UEFA Europa League Benfica 4 - 1 Celtic W
11 Oct 2026
Primeira Liga Benfica 2 - 0 Vitória SC W
20 Sep 2026
Primeira Liga FC Porto 3 - 1 Benfica L
16 Sep 2026
UEFA Europa League AC Milan 0 - 2 Benfica W
13 Sep 2026
Primeira Liga Benfica 3 - 1 GIL Vicente W
09 Sep 2026
Primeira Liga Moreirense 0 - 4 Benfica W
05 Sep 2026
Primeira Liga Maritimo 0 - 3 Benfica W
3 W2 D5 Lin the last 10
24 Oct 2026
Primeira Liga Alverca 0 - 1 Arouca L
18 Oct 2026
Taça de Portugal Tondela 2 - 0 Alverca L
12 Oct 2026
Primeira Liga Famalicao 1 - 4 Alverca W
19 Sep 2026
Primeira Liga Alverca 1 - 0 Rio Ave W
12 Sep 2026
Primeira Liga Nacional 1 - 3 Alverca W
05 Sep 2026
Primeira Liga Alverca 1 - 2 SC Braga L
29 Aug 2026
Primeira Liga Alverca 1 - 1 Santa Clara D
22 Aug 2026
Primeira Liga Sporting CP 3 - 1 Alverca L
15 Aug 2026
Primeira Liga Alverca 2 - 2 Estrela D
09 Aug 2026
Primeira Liga FC Porto 2 - 0 Alverca L

Who wins?

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
50% 21% 28%
Book lines
45% 45% 10%
Bookmaker
80% 13% 8%

Benfica · Draw · Alverca

Value spotted: Draw at 7.50 (model 21% vs market 13%) · Alverca win at 12.00 (model 28% vs market 8%)

Most likely scores

2-1
9.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
3-1
6.2%
2-0
6%

Expected goals 2.05 Benfica · 1.5 Alverca

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Over 3.5 goals47%
Both teams score68%

Team comparison

57%
Form
43%
57%
Attack
43%
50%
Defence
50%
69%
Goal model
31%
100%
Head to head
0%
67%
Goals
33%
60%
Overall
40%

Season numbers

Primeira Liga 2026

When the goals come

4
0-15'
2
2
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
3
8
46-60'
3
6
61-75'
2
3
76-90'
3
1
0-15'
2
0
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
2
4
46-60'
4
1
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
2
BenficaAlverca
9Played9
7Won3
1Drawn2
1Lost4
2.9Goals scored per game1.4
0.9Goals conceded per game1.4
4Clean sheets1
0Failed to score2
5Longest winning run3
3-1Biggest win1-0
2/2Penalties scored2/2

What comes next

Benfica
Alverca (H)02 Nov
Lech Poznan (H)05 Nov
Estrela (A)08 Nov
Torreense (A)21 Nov
Plzen (A)26 Nov
Alverca
Benfica (A)02 Nov
Casa Pia (H)07 Nov
Academico Viseu (A)28 Nov
Moreirense (H)06 Dec
Vitória SC (A)13 Dec

Green is a bottom-third opponent, grey is mid-table, red is a top-third opponent.

Betting markets

Bet365
Benfica 1.18
85% implied · Our tip
Draw 7.50
13% implied
Alverca 12.00
8% implied
Benfica 1.05
95% implied · Our tip
Alverca 11.00
9% implied
Over 0.5 1.01
99% implied
Under 0.5 23.00
4% implied
Over 1.5 1.11
90% implied
Under 1.5 6.50
15% implied
Over 2.5 1.36
74% implied
Under 2.5 3.10
32% implied
Over 3.5 1.91
52% implied
Under 3.5 1.80
56% implied
Over 4.5 3.25
31% implied
Under 4.5 1.33
75% implied
Benfica/Draw 21.00
5% implied
Benfica/Alverca 51.00
2% implied
Draw/Alverca 29.00
3% implied
Draw/Draw 11.00
9% implied
Benfica/Benfica 1.57
64% implied
Draw/Benfica 4.00
25% implied
Alverca/Benfica 17.00
6% implied
Alverca/Draw 26.00
4% implied
Alverca/Alverca 26.00
4% implied
Yes 1.95
51% implied
No 1.80
56% implied
2:0 7.00
14% implied
3:0 7.50
13% implied
1:0 10.00
10% implied
2:1 10.00
10% implied
3:1 10.00
10% implied
4:0 10.00
10% implied
4:1 15.00
7% implied
1:1 15.00
7% implied
Benfica/Draw 1.05
95% implied
Benfica/Alverca 1.10
91% implied
Draw/Alverca 4.50
22% implied
Benfica 1.50
67% implied · Our tip
Draw 3.10
32% implied
Alverca 11.00
9% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability is 100 divided by the odds and includes the bookmaker margin.

Benfica vs Alverca: preview and prediction

Benfica host Alverca in the Portugal Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 10) on Monday, 2nd November 2026 at 21:15 at Estádio da Luz, Lisbon. Benfica sit 2nd in the table and Alverca 9th.

Benfica are flying, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-W). Alverca are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-L-L).

In the last 2 meetings, Benfica won 2, Alverca won 0 and 0 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.

Our goal model expects about 2.05 goals for Benfica and 1.5 for Alverca. It gives Benfica the edge (50% home win, 21% draw, 28% away win), 69% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-1.

Verdict: our pick is Home (1) at odds of 1.16.

FAQs

What is the best prediction for Benfica vs Alverca?

Our top tip is Home (1) at odds of 1.16.

Who will win Benfica vs Alverca?

Benfica are favourites: our model gives Benfica 50%, the draw 21% and Alverca 28%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 68% chance in our model, and it happened in 100% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.6 goals in total, with a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Benfica vs Alverca?

Kick-off is on Monday, 2nd November 2026 at 21:15 at Estádio da Luz, Lisbon.

Who is the referee?

Bruno Pires Costa is in charge of this game.

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