Portugal: Primeira Liga
Mon, 26th Oct, 2026 · 19:45 · Regular Season - 9
Santa Clara
4th in the table
Benfica
2nd in the table
Double chance : draw or Benfica
Mon, 26th Oct, 2026 · 19:45 · Regular Season - 9
4th in the table
2nd in the table
Double chance : draw or Benfica
10games
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 21:4 | +17 | 27 | WWWWW | |
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 24:7 | +17 | 19 | WLWWW | |
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21:11 | +10 | 18 | LWDDW | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | +8 | 18 | WDWWD | |
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | +5 | 17 | WWDLD | |
| 6 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | +2 | 17 | WWWWW | |
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | +1 | 14 | LWWDL | |
| 8 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 | LWWWL | |
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 | LLLDW | |
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 11 | WLDWL | |
| 11 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | +3 | 10 | WLWDD | |
| 12 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 | LLLDW | |
| 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 | WLDLD | |
| 14 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 8 | LLDLL | |
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:18 | -8 | 7 | WLLLL | |
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5:17 | -12 | 7 | WLWLD | |
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 7 | LWLDL | |
| 18 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:15 | -10 | 2 | LLLLD |
Santa Clara · Draw · Benfica
Value spotted: Santa Clara win at 8.50 (model 23% vs market 11%)
Expected goals 1.3 Santa Clara · 2.15 Benfica
Green is a bottom-third opponent, grey is mid-table, red is a top-third opponent.
Odds can change. Implied probability is 100 divided by the odds and includes the bookmaker margin.
Santa Clara host Benfica in the Portugal Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 9) on Monday, 26th October 2026 at 19:45 at Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada. Santa Clara sit 4th in the table and Benfica 2nd.
Santa Clara are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-D-W-L). Benfica are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-L-W-W-W).
In the last 10 meetings, Santa Clara won 0, Benfica won 9 and 1 ended level. These games average 3.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 80%.
Our goal model expects about 1.3 goals for Santa Clara and 2.15 for Benfica. It gives Benfica the edge (23% home win, 21% draw, 57% away win), 67% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-2.
Verdict: our pick is Away (2) at odds of 1.40. We also like Over 1.5 (+1.5) at odds of 1.25.
Our top tip is Away (2) at odds of 1.40.
Benfica are favourites: our model gives Santa Clara 23%, the draw 21% and Benfica 57%.
Both teams scoring has a 64% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.
Our model expects 3.5 goals in total, with a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Kick-off is on Monday, 26th October 2026 at 19:45 at Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada.
Claudio Pereira is in charge of this game.