Germany: Bundesliga

Sat, 7th Nov, 2026 · 15:30 · Regular Season - 9

FSV Mainz 05

9th in the table

LWLLL
KICK OFF 15:30

Bayern München

1st in the table

DWWDW
Prediction: Over 3.5 (1.60 odds)
63% confidence

Combo Winner : Bayern München and +1.5 goals

MEWA Arena, Mainz Referee Robert Schroder

Match odds

Bet365
Home 7.00 14% implied
Draw 6.25 15% implied
Away 1.33 71% implied

All our tips for this match

Over 3.5 +3.5 @ 1.60
Away 2 @ 1.35
Over 2.5 +2.5 @ 1.22

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

10games

2FSV Mainz 05 wins
1Draws
7Bayern München wins
5Goals per game
70%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
25 Apr 2026
Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 3 - 4 Bayern München
14 Dec 2025
Bundesliga Bayern München 2 - 2 FSV Mainz 05
26 Apr 2025
Bundesliga Bayern München 3 - 0 FSV Mainz 05
14 Dec 2024
Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 2 - 1 Bayern München
30 Oct 2024
DFB Pokal FSV Mainz 05 0 - 4 Bayern München
09 Mar 2024
Bundesliga Bayern Munich 8 - 1 FSV Mainz 05
21 Oct 2023
Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 1 - 3 Bayern Munich
22 Apr 2023
Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 3 - 1 Bayern Munich
01 Feb 2023
DFB Pokal FSV Mainz 05 0 - 4 Bayern Munich
29 Oct 2022
Bundesliga Bayern Munich 6 - 2 FSV Mainz 05

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Bayern München 8530 27:8 +19 18 DWWDW
2 Borussia Dortmund 8530 14:6 +8 18 DWDDW
3 SC Freiburg 8512 18:10 +8 16 WLLWD
4 RB Leipzig 8503 22:11 +11 15 WWLWL
5 Werder Bremen 8431 17:14 +3 15 WWDDW
6 Bayer Leverkusen 8413 18:16 +2 13 LLWWW
7 SV Elversberg 8413 16:16 0 13 WLWLD
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 8323 13:18 -5 11 WLWLD
9 FSV Mainz 05 8314 17:17 0 10 LLWLW
10 FC Augsburg 8233 18:15 +3 9 LDLDL
11 VfB Stuttgart 8305 14:15 -1 9 WLLWL
12 1899 Hoffenheim 8305 14:16 -2 9 LWWLL
13 1. FC Köln 8233 9:12 -3 9 DDLWL
14 SC Paderborn 07 8233 6:9 -3 9 DWDLW
15 Hamburger SV 8305 7:19 -12 9 LLWWW
16 Union Berlin 8143 7:19 -12 7 DDDWL
17 FC Schalke 04 8134 4:9 -5 6 LDLLD
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 8116 11:22 -11 4 DWLLL

Top scorers

Bundesliga
1 N. Füllkrug
Werder Bremen 9
goals 0
assists 8
apps
2 P. Schick
Bayer Leverkusen 7
goals 2
assists 8
apps
3 M. Olise
Bayern München 6
goals 3
assists 8
apps
4 Y. Ebnoutalib
Eintracht Frankfurt 6
goals 1
assists 8
apps
5 E. Demirović
VfB Stuttgart 5
goals 0
assists 8
apps
6 P. Tietz
FSV Mainz 05 5
goals 0
assists 8
apps
7 M. Gregoritsch
FC Augsburg 5
goals 0
assists 8
apps
8 M. Krattenmacher
SV Elversberg 4
goals 1
assists 8
apps
9 I. Matanović
SC Freiburg 4
goals 1
assists 8
apps
10 C. Nkunku
RB Leipzig 4
goals 1
assists 6
apps

Recent form

4 W1 D5 Lin the last 10
30 Oct 2026
Bundesliga SV Elversberg 4 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 L
27 Oct 2026
DFB Pokal VfL Bochum 2 - 0 FSV Mainz 05 L
24 Oct 2026
Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 2 - 3 Werder Bremen L
17 Oct 2026
Bundesliga FC Schalke 04 0 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 W
10 Oct 2026
Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 3 - 4 Bayer Leverkusen L
03 Oct 2026
Friendlies Clubs Waldhof Mannheim 0 - 3 FSV Mainz 05 W
19 Sep 2026
Bundesliga Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 - 4 FSV Mainz 05 W
12 Sep 2026
Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 1 - 3 Eintracht Frankfurt L
06 Sep 2026
Bundesliga Hamburger SV 0 - 5 FSV Mainz 05 W
29 Aug 2026
Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 0 - 0 SC Paderborn 07 D
6 W4 D0 Lin the last 10
03 Nov 2026
UEFA Champions League Atletico Madrid 0 - 2 Bayern München W
31 Oct 2026
Bundesliga Bayern München 2 - 2 Borussia Dortmund D
28 Oct 2026
DFB Pokal Bayern München 6 - 1 1. FC Magdeburg W
25 Oct 2026
Bundesliga SC Freiburg 1 - 3 Bayern München W
21 Oct 2026
UEFA Champions League Bayern München 2 - 2 Arsenal D
17 Oct 2026
Bundesliga Bayern München 6 - 1 RB Leipzig W
13 Oct 2026
UEFA Champions League Viking 3 - 3 Bayern München D
10 Oct 2026
Bundesliga FC Augsburg 2 - 2 Bayern München D
18 Sep 2026
Bundesliga Bayern München 7 - 0 Union Berlin W
13 Sep 2026
Bundesliga SV Elversberg 1 - 2 Bayern München W

Who wins?

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
22% 20% 58%
Book lines
0% 50% 50%
Bookmaker
14% 15% 71%

FSV Mainz 05 · Draw · Bayern München

Value spotted: FSV Mainz 05 win at 7.00 (model 22% vs market 14%)

Most likely scores

1-2
9.6%
1-1
9%
0-2
7.7%
0-1
7.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-2
6%

Expected goals 1.25 FSV Mainz 05 · 2.15 Bayern München

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Over 3.5 goals44%
Both teams score63%

Team comparison

35%
Form
65%
35%
Attack
65%
30%
Defence
70%
18%
Goal model
82%
29%
Head to head
71%
33%
Goals
67%
30%
Overall
70%

Season numbers

Bundesliga 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
3
16-30'
5
4
31-45'
5
2
46-60'
5
1
61-75'
5
5
76-90'
5
6
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
4
46-60'
3
2
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
2
FSV Mainz 05Bayern München
8Played8
3Won5
1Drawn3
4Lost0
2.1Goals scored per game3.4
2.1Goals conceded per game1
3Clean sheets2
1Failed to score1
1Longest winning run2
0-5Biggest win7-0
0/1Penalties scored1/2

What comes next

FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München (H)07 Nov
FC Augsburg (A)22 Nov
Union Berlin (H)28 Nov
RB Leipzig (A)05 Dec
SC Freiburg (H)13 Dec
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05 (A)07 Nov
1. FC Köln (H)20 Nov
Lille (A)25 Nov
Hamburger SV (A)28 Nov
Hertha BSC (H)01 Dec

Green is a bottom-third opponent, grey is mid-table, red is a top-third opponent.

Betting markets

Bet365
FSV Mainz 05 7.00
14% implied
Draw 6.25
16% implied
Bayern München 1.33
75% implied · Our tip
FSV Mainz 05 5.50
18% implied
Bayern München 1.14
88% implied · Our tip
Over 0.5 1.00
100% implied
Under 0.5 34.00
3% implied
Over 1.5 1.06
94% implied
Under 1.5 10.00
10% implied
Over 2.5 1.22
82% implied
Under 2.5 4.33
23% implied
Over 3.5 1.62
62% implied
Under 3.5 2.30
43% implied
Over 4.5 2.30
43% implied
Under 4.5 1.62
62% implied
FSV Mainz 05/Draw 19.00
5% implied
FSV Mainz 05/Bayern München 13.00
8% implied
Draw/Bayern München 4.50
22% implied
Draw/Draw 11.00
9% implied
FSV Mainz 05/FSV Mainz 05 13.00
8% implied
Draw/FSV Mainz 05 17.00
6% implied
Bayern München/FSV Mainz 05 34.00
3% implied
Bayern München/Draw 17.00
6% implied
Bayern München/Bayern München 1.80
56% implied
Yes 1.44
69% implied
No 2.62
38% implied
1:2 10.00
10% implied
1:3 10.00
10% implied
0:2 12.00
8% implied
0:3 12.00
8% implied
1:4 13.00
8% implied
1:1 15.00
7% implied
0:4 15.00
7% implied
2:2 17.00
6% implied
FSV Mainz 05/Draw 3.25
31% implied
FSV Mainz 05/Bayern München 1.12
89% implied
Draw/Bayern München 1.10
91% implied
FSV Mainz 05 6.00
17% implied
Draw 3.20
31% implied
Bayern München 1.67
60% implied · Our tip

Odds can change. Implied probability is 100 divided by the odds and includes the bookmaker margin.

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München: preview and prediction

FSV Mainz 05 host Bayern München in the Germany Bundesliga (Regular Season - 9) on Saturday, 7th November 2026 at 15:30 at MEWA Arena, Mainz. FSV Mainz 05 sit 9th in the table and Bayern München 1st.

FSV Mainz 05 are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-L). Bayern München are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-W-D-W).

In the last 10 meetings, FSV Mainz 05 won 2, Bayern München won 7 and 1 ended level. These games average 5 goals, with both teams scoring in 70% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.

Our goal model expects about 1.25 goals for FSV Mainz 05 and 2.15 for Bayern München. It gives Bayern München the edge (22% home win, 20% draw, 58% away win), 66% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-2.

Verdict: our pick is Over 3.5 (+3.5) at odds of 1.60. We also like Away (2) at odds of 1.35, Over 2.5 (+2.5) at odds of 1.22.

FAQs

What is the best prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?

Our top tip is Over 3.5 (+3.5) at odds of 1.60.

Who will win FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?

Bayern München are favourites: our model gives FSV Mainz 05 22%, the draw 20% and Bayern München 58%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 63% chance in our model, and it happened in 70% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.4 goals in total, with a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 7th November 2026 at 15:30 at MEWA Arena, Mainz.

Who is the referee?

Robert Schroder is in charge of this game.

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