Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Fri, 13th Nov, 2026 · 20:45 · Regular Season - 16
Larne
3rd in the table
Dungannon Swifts
7th in the table
Double chance : Larne or draw
Fri, 13th Nov, 2026 · 20:45 · Regular Season - 16
3rd in the table
7th in the table
Double chance : Larne or draw
10games
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 24:11 | +13 | 36 | WDWWD | |
| 2 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 32:16 | +16 | 35 | LDWWW | |
| 3 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 24:14 | +10 | 26 | LWDWL | |
| 4 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17:11 | +6 | 22 | DDWDW | |
| 5 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 27:19 | +8 | 21 | WWWLL | |
| 6 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 23:27 | -4 | 19 | DLDDW | |
| 7 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 18 | WDLDL | |
| 8 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 20:30 | -10 | 18 | LWLLL | |
| 9 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18:17 | +1 | 16 | DLWLW | |
| 10 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 16:26 | -10 | 14 | LLDDL | |
| 11 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13:26 | -13 | 12 | WWLDL | |
| 12 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12:25 | -13 | 9 | DLLWD |
Larne · Draw · Dungannon Swifts
Value spotted: Draw at 4.50 (model 30% vs market 20%) · Dungannon Swifts win at 5.25 (model 30% vs market 17%)
Expected goals 1.15 Larne · 0.95 Dungannon Swifts
Green is a bottom-third opponent, grey is mid-table, red is a top-third opponent.
Odds can change. Implied probability is 100 divided by the odds and includes the bookmaker margin.
Larne host Dungannon Swifts in the Northern-Ireland Premiership (Regular Season - 16) on Friday, 13th November 2026 at 20:45 at Inver Park, Larne. Larne sit 3rd in the table and Dungannon Swifts 7th.
Larne are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-W-L-W). Dungannon Swifts have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-D-W-L).
In the last 10 meetings, Larne won 5, Dungannon Swifts won 3 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 30% and over 2.5 goals in 40%.
Our goal model expects about 1.15 goals for Larne and 0.95 for Dungannon Swifts. It gives Larne the edge (40% home win, 30% draw, 30% away win), 35% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.
Our pick was Home (1) at odds of 1.43.
Our top tip is Home (1) at odds of 1.43.
Larne are favourites: our model gives Larne 40%, the draw 30% and Dungannon Swifts 30%.
Both teams scoring has a 42% chance in our model, and it happened in 30% of recent meetings.
Our model expects 2.1 goals in total, with a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Kick-off is on Friday, 13th November 2026 at 20:45 at Inver Park, Larne.