England: Premier League
Sat, 24th Oct, 2026 · 17:30 · Regular Season - 8
Chelsea
4th in the table
Tottenham
16th in the table
Winner : Chelsea
Sat, 24th Oct, 2026 · 17:30 · Regular Season - 8
4th in the table
16th in the table
Winner : Chelsea
10games
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20:9 | +11 | 21 | LWWWW | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | +6 | 18 | WWLWW | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23:5 | +18 | 16 | WWWWD | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17:13 | +4 | 13 | WWLDL | |
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | +1 | 12 | WLWDW | |
| 6 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 | WWDWL | |
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13:8 | +5 | 10 | LDWDD | |
| 8 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 10 | DLDWD | |
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | +1 | 10 | LDWDD | |
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 | DLWLW | |
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | +1 | 9 | LDLDD | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 | LLWLD | |
| 13 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 7 | DDDLD | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 | LWDLW | |
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 6 | WLLDD | |
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 | WDLDD | |
| 17 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 | DLLLW | |
| 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 6 | LWWLL | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 | WLDDL | |
| 20 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 4 | LLLLD |
Chelsea · Draw · Tottenham
Value spotted: Chelsea win at 1.91 (model 66% vs market 50%)
Expected goals 2.5 Chelsea · 1.15 Tottenham
Green is a bottom-third opponent, grey is mid-table, red is a top-third opponent.
Odds can change. Implied probability is 100 divided by the odds and includes the bookmaker margin.
Chelsea host Tottenham in the England Premier League (Regular Season - 8) on Saturday, 24th October 2026 at 17:30 at Stamford Bridge, London. Chelsea sit 4th in the table and Tottenham 16th.
Chelsea are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-L-W-W). Tottenham have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-D-W).
In the last 10 meetings, Chelsea won 7, Tottenham won 2 and 1 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.
Our goal model expects about 2.5 goals for Chelsea and 1.15 for Tottenham. It gives Chelsea the edge (66% home win, 18% draw, 16% away win), 70% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-1.
Our pick was Over 2.5 (+2.5). We also like Over 0.5 (+0.5), 1X, BTTS (yes).
Our top tip is Over 2.5 (+2.5).
Chelsea are favourites: our model gives Chelsea 66%, the draw 18% and Tottenham 16%.
Both teams scoring has a 62% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.
Our model expects 3.7 goals in total, with a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Kick-off is on Saturday, 24th October 2026 at 17:30 at Stamford Bridge, London.
Chris Kavanagh is in charge of this game.