Italy: Serie A
Sun, 8th Nov, 2026 · 12:30 · Regular Season - 11
Napoli
10th in the table
Lazio
1st in the table
Double chance : draw or Lazio
Sun, 8th Nov, 2026 · 12:30 · Regular Season - 11
10th in the table
1st in the table
Double chance : draw or Lazio
10games
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24:8 | +16 | 28 | WWWWW | |
| 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 31:10 | +21 | 27 | WWWDW | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26:13 | +13 | 25 | LWWWW | |
| 4 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:8 | +10 | 23 | WWWWD | |
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21:12 | +9 | 21 | WLWWD | |
| 6 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24:15 | +9 | 20 | LWWDW | |
| 7 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 17 | WLWLD | |
| 8 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16:14 | +2 | 17 | WWWWL | |
| 9 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 | WLLLL | |
| 10 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 14 | LWDLW | |
| 11 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 14 | DLLWW | |
| 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 13 | WWWLW | |
| 13 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 11 | LDDLW | |
| 14 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 10 | DLLLW | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15:23 | -8 | 8 | WDLLL | |
| 16 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 8 | LWDLL | |
| 17 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16:29 | -13 | 8 | LLLLL | |
| 18 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17:24 | -7 | 7 | LLLWL | |
| 19 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8:21 | -13 | 6 | WLLLW | |
| 20 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12:25 | -13 | 5 | LLDLL |
Napoli · Draw · Lazio
Value spotted: Lazio win at 2.90 (model 55% vs market 33%)
Expected goals 1.3 Napoli · 2.05 Lazio
Green is a bottom-third opponent, grey is mid-table, red is a top-third opponent.
Odds can change. Implied probability is 100 divided by the odds and includes the bookmaker margin.
Napoli host Lazio in the Italy Serie A (Regular Season - 11) on Sunday, 8th November 2026 at 12:30 at Maradona Stadium, Naples. Napoli sit 10th in the table and Lazio 1st.
Napoli have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-L-L-D). Lazio are flying, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-D).
In the last 10 meetings, Napoli won 3, Lazio won 5 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.
Our goal model expects about 1.3 goals for Napoli and 2.05 for Lazio. It gives Lazio the edge (24% home win, 21% draw, 55% away win), 65% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-2.
Our pick was X2 at odds of 1.65. We also like Away (2) at odds of 3.00.
Our top tip is X2 at odds of 1.65.
Lazio are favourites: our model gives Napoli 24%, the draw 21% and Lazio 55%.
Both teams scoring has a 63% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.
Our model expects 3.4 goals in total, with a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Kick-off is on Sunday, 8th November 2026 at 12:30 at Maradona Stadium, Naples.
Luca J. Pairetto is in charge of this game.