Croatia: HNL
Mon, 26th Oct, 2026 · 18:00 · Regular Season - 11
Istra 1961
7th in the table
HNK Hajduk Split
1st in the table
Double chance : draw or HNK Hajduk Split
Mon, 26th Oct, 2026 · 18:00 · Regular Season - 11
7th in the table
1st in the table
Double chance : draw or HNK Hajduk Split
10games
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19:9 | +10 | 22 | WWLWW | |
| 2 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23:12 | +11 | 19 | WLWLW | |
| 3 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | +5 | 18 | LLWDD | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 17 | WLWDW | |
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:16 | +3 | 17 | LDLDW | |
| 6 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 13 | WLWDL | |
| 7 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:16 | +1 | 12 | LWLWD | |
| 8 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 11 | DWLLD | |
| 9 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 | WLWDL | |
| 10 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7:15 | -8 | 7 | DDLWD |
Istra 1961 · Draw · HNK Hajduk Split
Value spotted: Istra 1961 win at 4.00 (model 40% vs market 22%)
Expected goals 1.75 Istra 1961 · 1.7 HNK Hajduk Split
Green is a bottom-third opponent, grey is mid-table, red is a top-third opponent.
Odds can change. Implied probability is 100 divided by the odds and includes the bookmaker margin.
Istra 1961 host HNK Hajduk Split in the Croatia HNL (Regular Season - 11) on Monday, 26th October 2026 at 18:00 at Stadion Aldo Drosina, Pula. Istra 1961 sit 7th in the table and HNK Hajduk Split 1st.
Istra 1961 are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-L-W-L). HNK Hajduk Split are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-W-W-W).
In the last 10 meetings, Istra 1961 won 2, HNK Hajduk Split won 3 and 5 ended level. These games average 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.
Our goal model expects about 1.75 goals for Istra 1961 and 1.7 for HNK Hajduk Split. It gives Istra 1961 the edge (40% home win, 22% draw, 38% away win), 67% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.
Verdict: our pick is Aweh at odds of 1.37. We also like X2 at odds of 1.20, Over 0.5 (+0.5) at odds of 1.30, Over 1.5 (+1.5) at odds of 1.19.
Our top tip is Aweh at odds of 1.37.
Istra 1961 are favourites: our model gives Istra 1961 40%, the draw 22% and HNK Hajduk Split 38%.
Both teams scoring has a 67% chance in our model, and it happened in 80% of recent meetings.
Our model expects 3.5 goals in total, with a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Kick-off is on Monday, 26th October 2026 at 18:00 at Stadion Aldo Drosina, Pula.
Patrik Kolaric is in charge of this game.