World: Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Fri, 13th Nov, 2026 · 21:00 · Group Stage - 3

Morocco

1st in the table

WLWWD
KICK OFF 21:00

Niger

3rd in the table

DLWLL
Prediction: Over 2.5 (1.37 odds)
73% confidence

Winner : Morocco

Match odds

Bet365
Home 1.06 89% implied
Draw 12.00 8% implied
Away 34.00 3% implied

All our tips for this match

Over 2.5 +2.5 @ 1.37

Head to head

Last 3 meetings

3games

3Morocco wins
0Draws
0Niger wins
3Goals per game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
05 Sep 2025
World Cup - Qualification Africa Morocco 5 - 0 Niger
21 Mar 2025
World Cup - Qualification Africa Niger 1 - 2 Morocco
10 Sep 2019
Friendlies Morocco 1 - 0 Niger

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Morocco 2200 4:0 +4 6 WW
2 Gabon 2101 2:2 0 3 WL
3 Niger 2101 2:3 -1 3 LW
4 Lesotho 2002 1:4 -3 0 LL

Top scorers

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
1 H. Mastouri
Tunisia 4
goals 0
assists 1
apps
2 M. Munetsi
Zimbabwe 3
goals 0
assists 2
apps
3 E. Colley
Gambia 3
goals 0
assists 2
apps
4 Y. Wissa
Congo DR 2
goals 1
assists 2
apps
5 Chamito
Mozambique 2
goals 0
assists 2
apps
6 Omar Marmoush
Egypt 2
goals 0
assists 2
apps
7 Mama Baldé
Guinea-Bissau 2
goals 0
assists 2
apps
8 Franculino Djú
Guinea-Bissau 2
goals 0
assists 2
apps
9 N. Dorgeles
Mali 2
goals 0
assists 2
apps
10 A. Tia
Mali 2
goals 0
assists 2
apps

Recent form

5 W3 D1 Lin the last 9
04 Oct 2026
Friendlies Morocco 1 - 1 Mali D
29 Sep 2026
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Lesotho 0 - 2 Morocco W
25 Sep 2026
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Morocco 2 - 0 Gabon W
09 Jul 2026
World Cup France 2 - 0 Morocco L
04 Jul 2026
World Cup Canada 0 - 3 Morocco W
30 Jun 2026
World Cup Netherlands 1 - 1 Morocco D
24 Jun 2026
World Cup Morocco 4 - 2 Haiti W
19 Jun 2026
World Cup Scotland 0 - 1 Morocco W
13 Jun 2026
World Cup Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco D
1 W3 D5 Lin the last 9
06 Oct 2026
Friendlies Algeria 2 - 1 Niger L
29 Sep 2026
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Gabon 2 - 0 Niger L
25 Sep 2026
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Niger 2 - 1 Lesotho W
08 Jun 2026
Friendlies Niger 0 - 1 Mauritania L
05 Jun 2026
Friendlies Benin 1 - 1 Niger D
31 Mar 2026
Friendlies Niger 0 - 1 Togo L
27 Mar 2026
Friendlies Libya 0 - 0 Niger D
18 Nov 2025
Friendlies Guinea 1 - 1 Niger D
14 Nov 2025
Friendlies Burkina Faso 3 - 2 Niger L

Who wins?

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
60% 21% 18%
Book lines
50% 50% 0%
Bookmaker
89% 8% 3%

Morocco · Draw · Niger

Value spotted: Draw at 12.00 (model 21% vs market 8%) · Niger win at 34.00 (model 18% vs market 3%)

Most likely scores

1-0
10%
1-1
10%
2-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
6.6%

Expected goals 2 Morocco · 1 Niger

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams score55%

Team comparison

67%
Form
33%
67%
Attack
33%
100%
Defence
0%
100%
Goal model
0%
100%
Head to head
0%
89%
Goals
11%
74%
Overall
25%

Season numbers

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 2027

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
2
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
2
MoroccoNiger
2Played2
2Won1
0Drawn0
0Lost1
2Goals scored per game1
0Goals conceded per game1.5
2Clean sheets0
0Failed to score1
2Longest winning run1
2-0Biggest win2-1
0/0Penalties scored0/0

What comes next

Morocco
Niger (H)13 Nov
Niger (A)17 Nov
Gabon (A)24 Mar
Lesotho (H)28 Mar
Niger
Morocco (A)13 Nov
Morocco (H)17 Nov
Lesotho (A)24 Mar
Gabon (H)28 Mar

Green is a bottom-third opponent, grey is mid-table, red is a top-third opponent.

Betting markets

Bet365
Morocco 1.06
94% implied
Draw 12.00
8% implied
Niger 34.00
3% implied
Morocco 1.01
99% implied
Niger 15.00
7% implied
Over 0.5 1.01
99% implied
Under 0.5 12.00
8% implied
Over 1.5 1.12
89% implied
Under 1.5 5.50
18% implied
Over 2.5 1.44
69% implied
Under 2.5 2.62
38% implied
Over 3.5 2.00
50% implied
Under 3.5 1.73
58% implied
Over 4.5 3.40
29% implied
Under 4.5 1.30
77% implied
Morocco/Draw 41.00
2% implied
Morocco/Niger 126.00
1% implied
Draw/Niger 41.00
2% implied
Draw/Draw 13.00
8% implied
Morocco/Morocco 1.33
75% implied
Draw/Morocco 3.75
27% implied
Niger/Morocco 29.00
3% implied
Niger/Draw 41.00
2% implied
Niger/Niger 51.00
2% implied
Yes 3.75
27% implied
No 1.25
80% implied
3:0 5.00
20% implied
2:0 5.50
18% implied
4:0 6.50
15% implied
1:0 8.00
13% implied
5:0 9.50
11% implied
2:1 17.00
6% implied
3:1 17.00
6% implied
6:0 17.00
6% implied
Morocco/Draw 1.00
100% implied
Morocco/Niger 1.03
97% implied
Draw/Niger 7.50
13% implied
Morocco 1.30
77% implied
Draw 3.40
29% implied
Niger 23.00
4% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability is 100 divided by the odds and includes the bookmaker margin.

Morocco vs Niger: preview and prediction

Morocco host Niger in the World Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (Group Stage - 3) on Friday, 13th November 2026 at 21:00. Morocco sit 1st in the table and Niger 3rd.

Morocco are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-L-W-W-D). Niger are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-W-L-L).

In the last 3 meetings, Morocco won 3, Niger won 0 and 0 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 2 goals for Morocco and 1 for Niger. It gives Morocco the edge (60% home win, 21% draw, 18% away win), 58% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Verdict: our pick is Over 2.5 (+2.5) at odds of 1.37.

FAQs

What is the best prediction for Morocco vs Niger?

Our top tip is Over 2.5 (+2.5) at odds of 1.37.

Who will win Morocco vs Niger?

Morocco are favourites: our model gives Morocco 60%, the draw 21% and Niger 18%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 55% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3 goals in total, with a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Morocco vs Niger?

Kick-off is on Friday, 13th November 2026 at 21:00.

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