World: Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Thu, 12th Nov, 2026 · 17:00 · Group Stage - 3

Congo DR

1st in the table

LWWLD
KICK OFF 17:00

Sierra Leone

4th in the table

DWLLL
Prediction: Home (1.23 odds)
81% confidence

Double chance : Congo DR or draw

Stade des Martyrs, Kinshasa

Match odds

Bet365
Home 1.20 76% implied
Draw 5.25 17% implied
Away 15.00 6% implied

All our tips for this match

Home 1 @ 1.23
Over 1.5 +1.5 @ 1.24

Head to head

Last 1 meetings

1games

1Congo DR wins
0Draws
0Sierra Leone wins
3Goals per game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
27 Sep 2022
Friendlies Congo DR 3 - 0 Sierra Leone

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Congo DR 2200 4:1 +3 6 WW
2 Zimbabwe 2101 4:4 0 3 LW
3 Equatorial Guinea 2101 1:2 -1 3 WL
4 Sierra Leone 2002 2:4 -2 0 LL

Top scorers

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
1 H. Mastouri
Tunisia 4
goals 0
assists 1
apps
2 M. Munetsi
Zimbabwe 3
goals 0
assists 2
apps
3 E. Colley
Gambia 3
goals 0
assists 2
apps
4 Y. Wissa
Congo DR 2
goals 1
assists 2
apps
5 Chamito
Mozambique 2
goals 0
assists 2
apps
6 Omar Marmoush
Egypt 2
goals 0
assists 2
apps
7 Mama Baldé
Guinea-Bissau 2
goals 0
assists 2
apps
8 Franculino Djú
Guinea-Bissau 2
goals 0
assists 2
apps
9 N. Dorgeles
Mali 2
goals 0
assists 2
apps
10 A. Tia
Mali 2
goals 0
assists 2
apps

Recent form

3 W3 D4 Lin the last 10
05 Oct 2026
Friendlies Uganda 1 - 1 Congo DR D
02 Oct 2026
Friendlies Congo DR 0 - 2 Uganda L
28 Sep 2026
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Zimbabwe 1 - 2 Congo DR W
24 Sep 2026
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Congo DR 2 - 0 Equatorial Guinea W
01 Jul 2026
World Cup England 2 - 1 Congo DR L
28 Jun 2026
World Cup Congo DR 3 - 1 Uzbekistan W
24 Jun 2026
World Cup Colombia 1 - 0 Congo DR L
17 Jun 2026
World Cup Portugal 1 - 1 Congo DR D
09 Jun 2026
Friendlies Congo DR 1 - 2 Chile L
03 Jun 2026
Friendlies Congo DR 0 - 0 Denmark D
3 W2 D5 Lin the last 10
28 Sep 2026
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Equatorial Guinea 1 - 0 Sierra Leone L
24 Sep 2026
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Sierra Leone 2 - 3 Zimbabwe L
09 Jun 2026
Friendlies Liberia 3 - 1 Sierra Leone L
06 Jun 2026
Friendlies Sierra Leone 1 - 0 Liberia W
30 Mar 2026
FIFA Series Azerbaijan 1 - 1 Sierra Leone D
12 Oct 2025
World Cup - Qualification Africa Djibouti 1 - 2 Sierra Leone W
08 Oct 2025
World Cup - Qualification Africa Sierra Leone 0 - 1 Burkina Faso L
09 Sep 2025
World Cup - Qualification Africa Sierra Leone 2 - 0 Ethiopia W
04 Sep 2025
World Cup - Qualification Africa Guinea-Bissau 1 - 1 Sierra Leone D
25 Mar 2025
World Cup - Qualification Africa Egypt 1 - 0 Sierra Leone L

Who wins?

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
55% 26% 19%
Book lines
50% 50% 0%
Bookmaker
76% 17% 6%

Congo DR · Draw · Sierra Leone

Value spotted: Draw at 5.25 (model 26% vs market 17%) · Sierra Leone win at 15.00 (model 19% vs market 6%)

Most likely scores

1-0
15.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
11.9%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.9%

Expected goals 1.5 Congo DR · 0.75 Sierra Leone

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals66%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Over 3.5 goals19%
Both teams score41%

Team comparison

100%
Form
0%
67%
Attack
33%
80%
Defence
20%
100%
Goal model
0%
100%
Head to head
0%
100%
Goals
0%
73%
Overall
26%

Season numbers

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 2027

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
2
Congo DRSierra Leone
2Played2
2Won0
0Drawn0
0Lost2
2Goals scored per game1
0.5Goals conceded per game2
1Clean sheets0
0Failed to score1
2Longest winning run0
2-0Biggest win-
0/0Penalties scored0/0

What comes next

Congo DR
Sierra Leone (H)12 Nov
Sierra Leone (A)17 Nov
Equatorial Guinea (A)24 Mar
Zimbabwe (H)28 Mar
Sierra Leone
Congo DR (A)12 Nov
Congo DR (H)17 Nov
Zimbabwe (A)24 Mar
Equatorial Guinea (H)28 Mar

Green is a bottom-third opponent, grey is mid-table, red is a top-third opponent.

Betting markets

Bet365
Congo DR 1.20
83% implied · Our tip
Draw 5.25
19% implied
Sierra Leone 15.00
7% implied
Congo DR 1.04
96% implied · Our tip
Sierra Leone 9.00
11% implied
Over 0.5 1.05
95% implied
Under 0.5 8.50
12% implied
Over 1.5 1.28
78% implied
Under 1.5 3.50
29% implied
Over 2.5 1.85
54% implied
Under 2.5 1.95
51% implied
Over 3.5 3.25
31% implied
Under 3.5 1.33
75% implied
Over 4.5 5.50
18% implied
Under 4.5 1.12
89% implied
Congo DR/Draw 26.00
4% implied
Congo DR/Sierra Leone 81.00
1% implied
Draw/Sierra Leone 23.00
4% implied
Draw/Draw 7.50
13% implied
Congo DR/Congo DR 1.73
58% implied
Draw/Congo DR 3.60
28% implied
Sierra Leone/Congo DR 26.00
4% implied
Sierra Leone/Draw 29.00
3% implied
Sierra Leone/Sierra Leone 23.00
4% implied
Yes 3.00
33% implied
No 1.36
74% implied
2:0 5.00
20% implied
1:0 5.50
18% implied
3:0 6.50
15% implied
0:0 10.00
10% implied
2:1 11.00
9% implied
4:0 11.00
9% implied
1:1 11.00
9% implied
3:1 15.00
7% implied
Congo DR/Draw 1.01
99% implied
Congo DR/Sierra Leone 1.14
88% implied
Draw/Sierra Leone 4.33
23% implied
Congo DR 1.62
62% implied · Our tip
Draw 2.40
42% implied
Sierra Leone 12.00
8% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability is 100 divided by the odds and includes the bookmaker margin.

Congo DR vs Sierra Leone: preview and prediction

Congo DR host Sierra Leone in the World Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (Group Stage - 3) on Thursday, 12th November 2026 at 17:00 at Stade des Martyrs, Kinshasa. Congo DR sit 1st in the table and Sierra Leone 4th.

Congo DR have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-L-D). Sierra Leone are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-L-L-L).

In the last 1 meetings, Congo DR won 1, Sierra Leone won 0 and 0 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for Congo DR and 0.75 for Sierra Leone. It gives Congo DR the edge (55% home win, 26% draw, 19% away win), 39% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Verdict: our pick is Home (1) at odds of 1.23. We also like Over 1.5 (+1.5) at odds of 1.24.

FAQs

What is the best prediction for Congo DR vs Sierra Leone?

Our top tip is Home (1) at odds of 1.23.

Who will win Congo DR vs Sierra Leone?

Congo DR are favourites: our model gives Congo DR 55%, the draw 26% and Sierra Leone 19%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 41% chance in our model, and it happened in 0% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.3 goals in total, with a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Congo DR vs Sierra Leone?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 12th November 2026 at 17:00 at Stade des Martyrs, Kinshasa.

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