World: UEFA Nations League

Sat, 14th Nov, 2026 · 20:45 · League B - 5

Romania

4th in the table

WLLLL
FULL TIME 2 - 1 Half time 0 - 0

Poland

3rd in the table

DDLWL
2' Radu Drăguşin
49' Tudor Băluță
57' Ianis Hagi
61' Andrei Rațiu
68' Alexandru Cicâldău
72' Dennis Man
90+3' Lisav Naif Eissat
Marcel Regula 34'
Jakub Kiwior 51'
Marcel Regula 82'
Prediction: Over 1.5 (1.23 odds) Won
81% confidence

Double chance : draw or Poland

Arena Națională, Bucharest Referee Sebastian Gishamer

Match odds

Bet365
Home 4.75 20% implied
Draw 4.33 22% implied
Away 1.60 59% implied

All our tips for this match

Over 1.5 +1.5 ✓ @ 1.23
X2 x2 ✕ @ 1.18

Head to head

Last 3 meetings

3games

0Romania wins
0Draws
3Poland wins
4.3Goals per game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
02 Oct 2026
UEFA Nations League Poland 6 - 0 Romania
10 Jun 2017
World Cup - Qualification Europe Poland 3 - 1 Romania
11 Nov 2016
World Cup - Qualification Europe Romania 0 - 3 Poland

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Sweden 4310 7:3 +4 10 WDWW
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 4220 6:3 +3 8 WDWD
3 Poland 4112 7:4 +3 4 LWLD
4 Romania 4004 3:13 -10 0 LLLL

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League
1 H. Kane
England 7
goals 1
assists 5
apps
2 M. Olise
France 5
goals 2
assists 5
apps
3 A. Guðjohnsen
Iceland 5
goals 1
assists 5
apps
4 O. Óskarsson
Iceland 4
goals 2
assists 5
apps
5 T. Reijnders
Netherlands 4
goals 1
assists 5
apps
6 L. Walta
Finland 4
goals 1
assists 5
apps
7 Lamine Yamal
Spain 4
goals 1
assists 4
apps
8 V. Gyökeres
Sweden 4
goals 0
assists 4
apps
9 F. Esposito
Italy 4
goals 1
assists 5
apps
10 T. Parrott
Rep. Of Ireland 4
goals 0
assists 4
apps

Recent form

2 W1 D6 Lin the last 9
05 Oct 2026
UEFA Nations League Romania 0 - 1 Sweden L
02 Oct 2026
UEFA Nations League Poland 6 - 0 Romania L
28 Sep 2026
UEFA Nations League Romania 2 - 4 Bosnia & Herzegovina L
25 Sep 2026
UEFA Nations League Sweden 2 - 1 Romania L
06 Jun 2026
Friendlies Romania 2 - 1 Wales W
02 Jun 2026
Friendlies Georgia 1 - 1 Romania D
31 Mar 2026
Friendlies Slovakia 2 - 0 Romania L
26 Mar 2026
World Cup - Qualification Europe Türkiye 1 - 0 Romania L
18 Nov 2025
World Cup - Qualification Europe Romania 7 - 1 San Marino W
3 W3 D4 Lin the last 10
05 Oct 2026
UEFA Nations League Bosnia & Herzegovina 1 - 0 Poland L
02 Oct 2026
UEFA Nations League Poland 6 - 0 Romania W
28 Sep 2026
UEFA Nations League Sweden 3 - 1 Poland L
25 Sep 2026
UEFA Nations League Poland 0 - 0 Bosnia & Herzegovina D
03 Jun 2026
Friendlies Poland 2 - 2 Nigeria D
31 May 2026
Friendlies Poland 0 - 2 Ukraine L
31 Mar 2026
World Cup - Qualification Europe Sweden 3 - 2 Poland L
26 Mar 2026
World Cup - Qualification Europe Poland 2 - 1 Albania W
17 Nov 2025
World Cup - Qualification Europe Malta 2 - 3 Poland W
14 Nov 2025
World Cup - Qualification Europe Poland 1 - 1 Netherlands D

Who wins?

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
38% 24% 38%
Book lines
10% 45% 45%
Bookmaker
20% 22% 59%

Romania · Draw · Poland

Value spotted: Romania win at 4.75 (model 38% vs market 20%)

Most likely scores

1-1
11.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
7.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-2
6.3%

Expected goals 1.5 Romania · 1.5 Poland

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams score60%

Team comparison

0%
Form
100%
30%
Attack
70%
24%
Defence
76%
61%
Goal model
39%
0%
Head to head
100%
8%
Goals
92%
30%
Overall
69%

Season numbers

UEFA Nations League 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
2
0
76-90'
1
2
0-15'
1
3
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
0
2
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
1
RomaniaPoland
4Played4
0Won1
0Drawn1
4Lost2
0.8Goals scored per game1.8
3.3Goals conceded per game1
0Clean sheets2
2Failed to score2
0Longest winning run1
-Biggest win6-0
0/0Penalties scored1/1

This match

44%
Ball Possession
56%
11
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Goal
3
4
Corner Kicks
7
21
Fouls
16

Lineups

Romania 4-3-1-2
  1. 12 O. Hindrich
  2. 2 A. Rațiu
  3. 3 R. Drăgușin
  4. 4 A. Coubiș
  5. 15 L. Eissat
  6. 8 A. Cicâldău
  7. 6 T. Băluță
  8. 22 V. Dragomir
  9. 10 I. Hagi
  10. 7 F. Coman
  11. 20 D. Man
Poland 4-4-2
  1. 1 B. Drągowski
  2. 2 M. Cash
  3. 23 K. Potulski
  4. 14 J. Kiwior
  5. 5 O. Kubiak
  6. 18 M. Reguła
  7. 16 W. Nowak
  8. 20 S. Szymański
  9. 21 N. Zalewski
  10. 11 K. Świderski
  11. 9 R. Lewandowski

What comes next

Romania
Bosnia & Herzegovina (A)17 Nov
Poland
Sweden (H)17 Nov

Green is a bottom-third opponent, grey is mid-table, red is a top-third opponent.

Betting markets

Bet365
Romania 4.75
21% implied
Draw 4.33
23% implied
Poland 1.60
63% implied
Romania 3.75
27% implied
Poland 1.25
80% implied
Over 0.5 1.03
97% implied
Under 0.5 15.00
7% implied
Over 1.5 1.20
83% implied
Under 1.5 4.33
23% implied
Over 2.5 1.67
60% implied
Under 2.5 2.15
47% implied
Over 3.5 2.62
38% implied
Under 3.5 1.44
69% implied
Over 4.5 5.00
20% implied
Under 4.5 1.17
85% implied
Romania/Draw 17.00
6% implied
Romania/Poland 21.00
5% implied
Draw/Poland 4.50
22% implied · Our tip
Draw/Draw 6.50
15% implied
Romania/Romania 8.50
12% implied
Draw/Romania 11.00
9% implied
Poland/Romania 34.00
3% implied
Poland/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Poland/Poland 2.50
40% implied
Yes 1.73
58% implied
No 2.00
50% implied
1:1 8.00
13% implied
0:1 8.50
12% implied
0:2 8.50
12% implied
1:2 8.50
12% implied
1:3 12.00
8% implied
0:3 13.00
8% implied
1:0 15.00
7% implied
2:1 15.00
7% implied
Romania/Draw 2.25
44% implied
Romania/Poland 1.20
83% implied
Draw/Poland 1.18
85% implied · Our tip
Romania 5.00
20% implied
Draw 2.40
42% implied
Poland 2.10
48% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability is 100 divided by the odds and includes the bookmaker margin.

Romania vs Poland: preview and prediction

Romania host Poland in the World UEFA Nations League (League B - 5) on Saturday, 14th November 2026 at 20:45 at Arena Națională, Bucharest. Romania sit 4th in the table and Poland 3rd.

Romania are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-L-L). Poland have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-L-W-L).

In the last 3 meetings, Romania won 0, Poland won 3 and 0 ended level. These games average 4.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for Romania and 1.5 for Poland. It gives Romania the edge (38% home win, 24% draw, 38% away win), 58% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Over 1.5 (+1.5) at odds of 1.23. We also like X2 at odds of 1.18.

FAQs

What is the best prediction for Romania vs Poland?

Our top tip is Over 1.5 (+1.5) at odds of 1.23.

Who will win Romania vs Poland?

It looks very close: our model gives Romania 38%, the draw 24% and Poland 38%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 60% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3 goals in total, with a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Romania vs Poland?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 14th November 2026 at 20:45 at Arena Națională, Bucharest.

Who is the referee?

Sebastian Gishamer is in charge of this game.

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