World: UEFA Nations League
Sat, 14th Nov, 2026 · 18:00 · League B - 5
Georgia
4th in the table
Hungary
2nd in the table
Combo Double chance : draw or Hungary and -2.5 goals
Sat, 14th Nov, 2026 · 18:00 · League B - 5
4th in the table
2nd in the table
Combo Double chance : draw or Hungary and -2.5 goals
1games
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 8 | DWDW | |
| 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 7 | WWDL | |
| 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 | LLDW | |
| 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 | DLDL |
Georgia · Draw · Hungary
Value spotted: Georgia win at 3.20 (model 52% vs market 29%)
Expected goals 1.4 Georgia · 0.75 Hungary
Green is a bottom-third opponent, grey is mid-table, red is a top-third opponent.
Odds can change. Implied probability is 100 divided by the odds and includes the bookmaker margin.
Georgia host Hungary in the World UEFA Nations League (League B - 5) on Saturday, 14th November 2026 at 18:00 at Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena, Tbilisi. Georgia sit 4th in the table and Hungary 2nd.
Georgia are struggling, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-L-D-L). Hungary are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-D-W-W-W).
In the last 1 meetings, Georgia won 0, Hungary won 1 and 0 ended level. These games average 1 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% and over 2.5 goals in 0%.
Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Georgia and 0.75 for Hungary. It gives Georgia the edge (52% home win, 27% draw, 20% away win), 36% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.
Our pick was X2 at odds of 1.35. We also like Draw (x) at odds of 3.26.
Our top tip is X2 at odds of 1.35.
Georgia are favourites: our model gives Georgia 52%, the draw 27% and Hungary 20%.
Both teams scoring has a 40% chance in our model, and it happened in 0% of recent meetings.
Our model expects 2.2 goals in total, with a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Kick-off is on Saturday, 14th November 2026 at 18:00 at Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena, Tbilisi.
Ondrej Berka is in charge of this game.