Latvia: Virsliga
Sun, 1st Nov, 2026 · 12:00 · Regular Season - 35
Ogre United
10th in the table
Riga
2nd in the table
Winner : Riga
Sun, 1st Nov, 2026 · 12:00 · Regular Season - 35
10th in the table
2nd in the table
Winner : Riga
3games
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 84:24 | +60 | 86 | WWWWD | |
| 2 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 95:33 | +62 | 82 | WWWWW | |
| 3 | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 57:35 | +22 | 67 | WLWDW | |
| 4 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 40:37 | +3 | 48 | WWWDL | |
| 5 | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 46:46 | 0 | 47 | DWLDD | |
| 6 | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 32:50 | -18 | 38 | LLLWL | |
| 7 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 34:57 | -23 | 32 | LLLLD | |
| 8 | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 27:61 | -34 | 29 | LWLDD | |
| 9 | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 44:65 | -21 | 25 | DLLDL | |
| 10 | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 34:85 | -51 | 18 | LLLWL |
Ogre United · Draw · Riga
Value spotted: Ogre United win at 21.00 (model 15% vs market 4%) · Draw at 10.00 (model 18% vs market 9%)
Expected goals 1.1 Ogre United · 2.45 Riga
Green is a bottom-third opponent, grey is mid-table, red is a top-third opponent.
Odds can change. Implied probability is 100 divided by the odds and includes the bookmaker margin.
Ogre United host Riga in the Latvia Virsliga (Regular Season - 35) on Sunday, 1st November 2026 at 12:00 at Ogre. Ogre United sit 10th in the table and Riga 2nd.
Ogre United are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-L-D). Riga have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-D-W-D).
In the last 3 meetings, Ogre United won 0, Riga won 3 and 0 ended level. These games average 4.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.
Our goal model expects about 1.1 goals for Ogre United and 2.45 for Riga. It gives Riga the edge (15% home win, 18% draw, 67% away win), 68% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-2.
Our pick was Over 3.5 (+3.5) at odds of 1.67. We also like Over 2.5 at odds of 1.25, Over 2.5 (+2.5) at odds of 1.25.
Our top tip is Over 3.5 (+3.5) at odds of 1.67.
Riga are favourites: our model gives Ogre United 15%, the draw 18% and Riga 67%.
Both teams scoring has a 61% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.
Our model expects 3.6 goals in total, with a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Kick-off is on Sunday, 1st November 2026 at 12:00 at Ogre.